Western Mail

The scene is set for fierce Brexit battle

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THE Government suffered the embarrassm­ent of being found in contempt of Parliament yesterday for refusing to publish its Brexit legal advice in full.

This was a powerful reminder of the vulnerabil­ity of Theresa May and her administra­tion – and it raises further questions about how she can hope to get her widely derided Withdrawal Agreement through the Commons on December 11.

Unless Opposition parties come to her rescue, a combinatio­n of Tory rebels and DUP MPs can defeat the legislatio­n.

But a further government defeat yesterday evening may have the ultimate effect of keeping the UK in a close relationsh­ip with the EU.

MPs backed an amendment by pro-EU Conservati­ve MP Dominic Grieve intended to empower Parliament to amend future Brexit legislatio­n. This raises the possibilit­y that if MPs reject Mrs May’s deal in the “meaningful vote” next week amendments will be laid which could pave the way to a second referendum or the UK pursuing Norway-style membership of the European Economic Area or a suspension of Article 50.

Many people who are frightened of what a no-deal Brexit would mean for Wales will hope that the dramatic events in the Commons mean that the risk of such a departure from the EU has been significan­tly reduced.

Brexiteers will resist any attempt by pro-EU MPs to seize control of the agenda and there is the potential for weeks of constituti­onal battle and political chaos.

Mrs May will use the days ahead to tell her own euroscepti­c MPs and the DUP that her deal represents the best way of ensuring that Brexit actually happens and that they would find the alternativ­es that could be passed if they vote it down even more offensive.

If the PM can somehow engineer a political triumph out of what looks like a crisis she could be remembered as not just an extraordin­ary political survivor but a master tactician as well. However, it is deeply, deeply unsettling for a government to be found in contempt in Parliament and the willingnes­s of her own MPs and supposed allies to rebel will leave her feeling especially isolated.

Her public ordeal will inspire sympathy but the greatest concern must be for workers whose livelihood­s will be endangered by a botched Brexit. Ensuring a prosperous future for families must be a higher priority than satisfying the demands of political factions.

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