Western Mail

Parties lay transport WALES IN MOTION Pledges on table – but the devil’s in the detail

PROFESSOR STUART COLE

- Prof Stuart Cole CBE is Emeritus Professor of Transport (Economics and Policy), University of South Wales

ONLY the Conservati­ves, Labour and Plaid Cymru can aim for government in tomorrow’s Senedd election, and so will be able to make transport decisions – though many of the Green Party’s policies fit well with those of Labour and Plaid Cymru.

Labour’s rail infrastruc­ture credential­s are its £1.5bn investment in new trains and Valley Lines electrific­ation to be completed by 2023.

All parties want a fairer share of rail investment for Wales, though only Plaid and Labour press specifical­ly for north and south Wales main line electrific­ation. Plaid (and Labour, though not in its manifesto) is pressing for the Scottish model, transferri­ng rail infrastruc­ture responsibi­lity with a commensura­te increase in block grant. All parties aspire to better-quality rail links between north Wales and north-west England and Liverpool/Manchester airports.

HM Treasury’s new investment rules ought to find Plaid Cymru’s rail feasibilit­y studies attractive. Candidates include the Bangor/Aberystwyt­h to Carmarthen scheme, but with a route via Aberaeron and the underinves­ted Heart of Wales line, a cross–border route should, ironically, also be considered as part of the Union Connectivi­ty Review.

Only the Conservati­ves support an additional hourly train service between Carmarthen and Cardiff cutting 20 minutes off that journey – surely a vote-winner in west Wales marginal seats.

Achieving good road communica

tions is common to all, but they differ widely on what should be done.

Plaid Cymru, in supporting the Labour government’s infrastruc­ture plan, agrees to the expensive funding of the Heads of the Valleys road. How it plans to do that and cut the roads budget to finance public transport is unclear.

The Conservati­ves continue to promote a new £1.8bn M4 around Newport despite expected traffic flow reductions post-Covid and most benefits accruing to adjacent English counties rather than Valley communitie­s. Conversely, UK (replacing EU) funding of the Conservati­ves’ £2bn road investment programme is not guaranteed, and would leave their A55 and A40 proposals with a mere £200m. Labour and Plaid Cymru both support the Burns report proposals for a public transport solution to congestion.

The parties all fail to propose funding to eliminate road potholes – the bane of drivers, cyclists and insurance companies.

The developmen­t of a high-quality, affordable, integrated public transport system advocated by this column, by Plaid Cymru and Labour has seen little progress over 40 years.

Labour and Plaid Cymru support extending TrawsCymru, the national bus network, to provide integrated services for settlement­s with no rail connection; and enacting bus franchisin­g is not unrealisti­c given the current bus industry financial position. Both propose varying levels of free bus/rail travel which Estonia, a country smaller than Wales, introduced fully in 2019. Ironically both parties propose forms of regional transport authoritie­s – which the Labour government abolished seven years ago. Even the Conservati­ves want joined-up public transport – but only seemingly in north Wales.

Welsh ports have not reached their full potential and none are free ports under the UK Government’s plan. Plaid Cymru wants responsibi­lity for ports regulation and maritime strategy transferre­d to the Welsh Government, with a private-public sector investment programme for each port. A welcome £20m ports developmen­t fund is the Conservati­ve contributi­on. However, no party shows how the Celtic Sea’s Welsh ports will match the numbers of cruise ships visiting Ireland and Scotland with resulting economic benefit from tourism spending.

Cardiff Airport, nationalis­ed by a previous Labour government, receives a detailed recovery plan from Plaid Cymru, partly through devolving Air Passenger Duty (so reducing Cardiff-based air fares), though its carbon offset taxation scheme will increase air travel costs and may reduce passenger demand. The Conservati­ves would privatise the airport, though a potential buyer (without being allowed to build houses on the 40-acre estate) is difficult to envisage.

Green is the colour of the parties’ policies, if not the party in power. Labour seeks to encourage/promote cycling, walking and public transport use. Plaid Cymru has a target to persuade 50% of car-users to switch to public transport (30%), walking (10%) and cycling (10%), which is unrealisti­c outside Cardiff, Newport and Swansea. The Conservati­ves propose 20,000 car-charging points.

Plaid Cymru wants devolved road and fuel taxes it can then replace with an eco-levy based on mileage travelled. Labour and Plaid Cymru propose reducing the 30mph urban speed limit to 20mph; the Conservati­ves do not, perhaps because they recognise increased freight/bus transport operator costs.

Overall, there is little difference in transport policy between Labour and Plaid Cymru, who go further than the Conservati­ves in detail and the extent of using legislatio­n to achieve their ends.

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