Defenses could prove decisive
Difference in tilt between powerful offenses may be from unexpected source
Suggesting that defense could decide Super Bowl LV might seem like heresy.
With Patrick Mahomes and the explosive Kansas City offense on one side, Tom Brady and Tampa Bay’s resourceful attack on the other, expecting either D to be dominant or dangerous or definitive appears like folly.
Read on, though.
When the Chiefs have the ball
Having clearly established itself as a force whether Mahomes is throwing to All-pros Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill, an impressive group of other targets, or handing off to Clyde Edwards-helaire — not to mention, the quarterback taking off himself — Kansas City excels at scoring quickly.
And often.
So where would Tampa Bay have any chance of defending the speed demons and shifty targets?
For one, the Bucs have the league’s best linebacker corps: sack master Shaq Barrett, run stuffer Lavonte David, all-around standout Devin White.
They are capable of at least giving Kelce, the sport’s best tight end, some trouble.
The Bucs showed how strong their pass rush can be in last week’s NFC Championship victory over Green Bay.
They sacked Aaron Rodgers five times, bothered him a slew more, and that was operating against a solid offensive line.
Mahomes has similar escapability to Rodgers, and is far more of a threat to flat out run the ball himself.
Keeping him in the pocket and pressured is a key, and the Chiefs will be without starting left tackle Eric Fisher (Achilles tendon). Barrett, edge rusher Jason Pierre-paul and inside presence Ndamukong Suh must be controlled by Kansas City.
With a strong pass rush, the Bucs can protect a secondary that makes big plays, but also can give them up. If safeties Antoine Winfield Jr., a rookie, and Jordan Whitehead can’t go or are limited by injuries, that could spell trouble, and Chiefs touchdowns.
Carlton Davis, Jamel Dean and Sean Murphy-bunting are the key cornerbacks trying to slow the K.C. express. No one on the Tampa defense can match the speed of Hill or Mecole Hardman.
When the Bucs have the ball
If Tampa Bay is on offense in the final minutes in a tight game, it’s surely time for the Chiefs to worry.
There are only two ways to beat a Brady team in a Super Bowl. One is to outscore it in a shootout, as the Eagles did three years ago. The other is to mount consistent pressure up the middle and from the outside to make him throw before he wants to or can get set. Remember, Brady was intercepted on three consecutive series in the NFC Championship.
The onus for protecting him falls on a solid O -line featuring left guard Ali Marpet and rookie right tackle Tristan Wirfs. They must deal with Kansas City DT Chris Jones and DE Frank Clark, plus an assortment of linebackers and defensive backs coming after their quarterback on blitzes.
Brady won’t be running around to extend plays the way Mahomes can, but he also will be getting the ball out of his hand quickly and, at times, reading the Chiefs’ coverage before they even show it.
In Mike Evans, Chris Godwin and Scotty Miller, plus tight ends Rob Gronkowski and Cameron Brate, Brady has receivers he is comfortable with. While the Chiefs are exceptional at safety with All-pro Tyrann Mathieu and Daniel Sorensen, cornerbacks Charvarius Ward, L’jarius Sneed, Bashaud Breeland and Rashad Fenton aren’t at that level.