Albany Times Union

Xi Jinping thinks America is on the rocks. Is he correct?

- By Trudy Rubin ▶ Trudy Rubin is a columnist and editorial board member for The Philadelph­ia Inquirer.

When President Joe Biden Zoomed with Chinese leader Xi Jinping on Monday, the rooms they spoke from were more than backdrops.

Xi spoke from a vast, pink-carpeted room in the Great Hall of the People, apparently the same room in which he met then-veep Biden in 2013. Biden Zoomed from the modest Roosevelt Room in the White House. Politico’s Phelim Kine dubbed it the Summit Zoom Room Size Contest.

Of course, everything about China is big (including reception rooms for high-level foreign dignitarie­s). Yet size symbolizes China’s — and Xi’s — growing power. Even a tonguein-cheek focus on Zoom rooms reflects rising American unease about how Xi intends to use that power.

Only hours after the two leaders’ call, the Chinese Communist Party anointed Xi as one of China’s most revered leaders, on a par with Mao Zedong and Deng Xiaoping, and perhaps even greater. As a “core leader,” Xi’s ideas now become unassailab­le party doctrine. His word is China’s future.

So Xi’s psyche and goals will be critical drivers of global politics in the coming decade. He has made clear he wants China to surpass the United States in every major sphere by 2049, the 100th anniversar­y of the founding of the People’s Republic of China. But will his overweenin­g ego produce a military conflict neither side wants?

Part of the answer becomes visually apparent at China’s National Museum on Tiananmen Square, which I visited in 2019, just after a total renovation on Xi’s watch.

Mainly focused on China’s ancient history and arts, the museum has one new floor dedicated to The Road of Rejuvenati­on, that tracks China’s ascent from partial occupation in the mid-1800s through its astonishin­g contempora­ry rise. It lays bare the continued Chinese bitterness at U.S. and European imperialis­m in the late 19th and early 20th centuries.

One wing traces Chinese history from the Opium Wars all the way to Xi’s predecesso­r, Hu Jintao. The second wing is entirely devoted to the achievemen­ts of Xi Jinping. Videos of his speeches, endless portraits with foreign leaders, and cases of Xi’s books compete for pride of place with exhibition­s of scientific achievemen­ts in space and industry, and models of bullet trains.

The pride in China’s stunning recent growth is wholly justified, but the cult of personalit­y is unnerving. The ode to Xi’s greatness dismisses the brilliant insights of Deng, who wanted to prevent the emergence of another godlike Mao figure.

Meantime, the tourist shops around Tiananmen Square all featured medallions that show Xi on one side and Mao on the other.

How then does the museum exhibit link up to the Biden-xi Zoom?

In their virtual meeting, Biden urged Xi not to allow competitio­n to “veer into conflict.” And Biden pushed for talks to reduce strategic risk, given China’s planned massive expansion of nuclear warheads.

In other words, Biden is pressing for some kind of “guardrails” to prevent U.s.-chinese competitio­n from spinning out of control. Yet Xi’s conviction of Chinese superiorit­y, his determinat­ion to avenge the slights of the past and make China the world’s greatest power, are as palpable in his speeches and domestic actions as in the National Museum. So is his conviction that a weakened West is unable to stop China’s expansion (including the subjugatio­n of Taiwan).

Xi is not ginning up a Cold War that resembles the U.s.-soviet conflict. That confrontat­ion was far simpler. Xi’s goal is an economic and technologi­cal domination that forces the rest of the world to accept China’s preeminenc­e and mimic its political system. His ego has convinced him that the West can’t compete.

The United States must prove him wrong. Biden has wisely engaged European and Asian allies to present a more united front against China’s economic and military pressures.

To counter Xi’s vision, however, America must dramatical­ly up its domestic game, especially in technologi­cal competitio­n. One good start would be passing the U.S. Innovation and Competitio­n Act.

Continued interparty warfare in Congress and within the country, mostly fueled by the GOP, will only convince Xi that his belief in U.S. decline is on the money. In which case, the problem won’t be Xi’s ego. We will have defeated ourselves.

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