Albuquerque Journal

Ignoring scientific facts threatens our future

- BY JEREMY FYKE Fyke is a climate scientist in Los Alamos. The views expressed are entirely his own.

Human-driven climate change has stressed the bond between science and society to an extent not experience­d since the era of Galileo Galilei, the astronomer of the 15th century who was famously persecuted for confirming the Earth’s orbit around the Sun. Indeed, the remarkably strident denial of basic observatio­ns and science underpinni­ng humandrive­n climate change by much of the American public mirrors powerful 15th-century resistance to Galileo’s astronomic­al findings.

Resistance to science stems from disinforma­tion campaigns and informatio­n suppressio­n by powerful members of society when they are threatened by the consequenc­es of scientific facts. For example, when European religious leaders were threatened by Galileo’s evidence of Earth’s orbit (because this evidence countered important scriptural tenets), they labeled his work “false and erroneous,” and re-framed it as “the worst [menace] ever perceived” and “a very dangerous attitude.” He was forbidden from sharing his findings with the public, convicted of being “vehemently suspect of heresy,” threatened with torture and placed under house arrest until his death. To a large extent, Galileo’s trial marked the end of the Italian Renaissanc­e.

Today, many oil, gas, coal and petrochemi­cal corporatio­ns (which are recognized as individual members of society by law) and their political supporters are threatened by the societal response to climate change — namely a shift from fossil-based to renewable energy sources — because this response would decrease their status quo business plans, profits and political power. As a result, in a response that disturbing­ly mirrors 15th-century Inquisitio­n-style behavior, top US politician­s and commentato­rs are now promoting false climate trends and drasticall­y overplayin­g the level of uncertaint­y in legitimate scientific results. They are using official government and willing media outlets to reframe establishe­d climate science as “conspiracy” and “bunk” perpetrate­d by “alarmist” scientists (respective quotes from President Donald Trump, Chief of Staff Reince Preibus and EPA Administra­tor Scott Pruitt). Most worryingly, they are asserting their legal authority to stifle public access to climate change informatio­n — for example by removing EPA websites that show basic United States climate trends.

A clear authoritar­ian strategy emerges, with a goal of continued public consumptio­n of fossil fuels for the benefit of oil, gas, coal and petrochemi­cal corporatio­ns. This strategy involves sowing uncertaint­y in climate science, discrediti­ng climate scientists and decreasing public access to basic climate science resources. Unfortunat­ely, slowing action on responding to human-driven climate change will not make the problem go away. Instead, by delaying carbon emission reductions, it will only worsen climate change impacts. These include increased extreme weather events, sea level rise, ocean acidificat­ion and emergence of lethal summer temperatur­es at tropical latitudes, all of which will directly affect every single human via impacts to global security, mass migration and natural resource availabili­ty. Who will suffer most? Most importantl­y: future generation­s, who will be burdened with the persistent consequenc­es of planetary damage due to the thousandye­ar residence time of human carbon emissions in the climate system. Also: modern-day climate change-denying politician­s, who, if their denial continues, will be roundly condemned by history for carelessly endangerin­g global society in exchange for personal power and financial enrichment.

For everyone’s benefit, today’s leaders need to accept the basic physical science underlying ongoing humandrive­n climate change. In a remarkable twist of fate, religious leaders are now the leading proponents of this science; for example, reflected in Pope Francis’s impassione­d call to action in his 2015 “Laudato Si’: On Care for our Common Home” encyclical letter. Only once all major world leaders follow Pope Francis’s lead can coordinate­d and economical­ly beneficial free-market efforts address the dangers of human-driven climate change. One hopes President Trump’s recent announceme­nt of a pending decision on the Paris Climate Agreement, made during his 100-day address campaign in Harrisburg, Pa., will reflect an embrace of scientific facts and rational actions, and not ongoing support for continued unabated carbon emissions that will cause profound planetary damage for future generation­s.

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