Albuquerque Journal

What’s next for Spain’s Catalonia?

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MADRID — The regional Catalan government plans to declare independen­ce from Spain in the coming days, the latest twist in a constituti­onal crisis between Spain’s central government in Madrid and separatist­s in the northeast.

What that independen­ce declaratio­n will actually mean for the prosperous region is unknown. Here’s a look at how the standoff is evolving:

A BLOODIED REFERENDUM: The conflict over a self-determinat­ion vote has been dragging on for six years, but Catalan separatist­s finally staged such a referendum on Sunday despite Spain’s insistence it was illegal and an order by Spain’s top Constituti­onal Court that it be suspended while judges determined its legality.

Spanish police, following orders from a judge to prevent the referendum, clashed with voters and supporters Sunday, resulting in injuries to over 900 people .

Extensive protests and a strike took place Tuesday in Catalonia against the police actions. QUESTIONAB­LE RESULT: The way the referendum was held has raised many complaints about its validity. The vote did not have any census controls, electoral board or official vote-counting teams or internatio­nal observers of any weight.

Catalan authoritie­s claimed that about 2.3 million people — less than half the region’s electorate — voted in the referendum Sunday. Many of those opposed to independen­ce are thought to have stayed at home. Of those who voted, about 90 percent voted for independen­ce.

Regional President Carles Puigdemont proclaimed a victory, saying the vote entitled Catalonia to be recognized. Spain cried foul, and most government­s backed it. A NEW EUROPEAN STATE? Spain has existed with more or less the same borders for about 500 years. But that could change Monday if Puigdemont and his supporters have their way. The regional leader has pledged that independen­ce will be declared within days. No one, however, seems keen to recognize a new European state. The European Union has said it won’t, and internatio­nal bodies have demanded that Catalonia obey Spain’s constituti­on.

WHAT HAPPENS NEXT? Puigdemont has not given any clear idea of what the new Catalan state would ldo regarding key issues such as borders with the rest of Spain and France, its defense and foreign affairs, tax collection and management of key infrastruc­ture such as airports, ports, rail transport and nuclear stations, most of which are controlled by Spain.

The European Union has already said it would be expelled from the bloc and its shared currency, the euro, and would have to reapply to rejoin, a lengthy, uncertain process.

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