Albuquerque Journal

Biden has means to reduce inflation; why doesn’t he?

- FAREED ZAKARIA SCyonludmi­cnaitsetd Columnist

President Joe Biden says combating inflation is his “top domestic priority.” But he certainly isn’t acting that way. He has in plain sight several measures that would reduce inflation significan­tly and yet appears hesitant to take them. As many distinguis­hed economists have noted, the repeal of most or all of Donald Trump’s tariffs would be the single most effective way of reducing inflation in the near future. As a reminder, a tariff is a tax on goods paid by the U.S. consumer who buys those goods. It is by definition inflationa­ry; it raises the price of a good such as an imported car. But it causes even more inflation than that, because it raises the price of the domestical­ly made equivalent goods as well. If a Mazda sells for more, then Ford and General Motors also tend to raise prices.

The reverse logic applies as well. If you cut tariffs, that also has a broader effect: When the Mazda gets cheaper, Ford and GM will cut prices to compete.

In March, the Peterson Institute for Internatio­nal Economics produced a study estimating that reversing most of the Trump tariffs would reduce inflation by 1.3 percentage points. Lawrence H. Summers, a Post contributi­ng columnist who has been prescient on many things in this economic crisis, endorsed that study, concurring that trade barrier reduction was the single biggest microecono­mic measure “by far” that could be taken to alleviate inflation in the near term.

The second one, he noted, would be immigratio­n reform. This is the time to reverse more of Trump’s restrictio­ns on immigratio­n, many done by executive action and hundreds of which are still in effect, which have caused severe worker shortages in industries such as farming, constructi­on and health care.

The problem, however, is not one relating to facts or logic. No one seriously disputes the validity of these claims. During the campaign, Biden lambasted Trump’s tariffs on China and much of his immigratio­n policy. Yet after entering office, the Biden White House has behaved on these issues like a deer in the headlights, paralyzed by fear major shifts might get attacked by Republican­s.

This defensive crouch is not just visible in economic policy, but foreign policy as well. Biden campaigned on the notion Trump had been a dangerous aberration in American politics, his policies had been far outside the mainstream, and Biden would return the country to normalcy. Imagine if Biden, in his first week in office, had reversed a slew of Trump policies - ending the tariff wars, reentering the Iran nuclear deal and restoring some normalcy to America’s relationsh­ip with Cuba.

Instead, almost a year and a half into the Biden administra­tion, on issue after issue, we are still living in Trump’s world. Biden might have paid a small political price initially, but that would have been short-lived, and he would have reaped the gains of more sensible policies for the rest of his term.

... On economics, voters are looking for results — some of which Biden could easily deliver by reducing tariffs and easing certain immigratio­n restrictio­ns.

Inflation hurts the poor and the lower middle class the most, because they spend a much larger share of their income on items such as food and clothing that get cheaper thanks to global trade. Getting cheap stuff at Walmart is a much bigger boon for someone making $30,000 a year than $300,000. In Britain, inflation, which is at a 40-year high — mostly caused by Brexit — is having a particular­ly adverse effect on lowerincom­e groups. Similarly, studies show tariffs are also regressive, hurting the poor much more than the rich.

A convention­al wisdom has congealed in the United States that decades of free trade have led to stagnant wages for the middle class, misery for the working class. That view convenient­ly excludes the massive benefits of dramatic and sustained reductions in the costs of crucial aspects of life such as food, clothing and technology. We are witnessing what happens when the economic winds move in the opposite direction and costs spiral up. It might make us all a little nostalgic for globalizat­ion.

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