Antelope Valley Press

I Republican­s couldn’t care less about the unemployed

- Paul Krugman Commentary

n case you haven’t noticed, the Coronaviru­s is still very much with us. Around a thousand Americans are dying from COVID-19 each day, 10 times the rate in the European Union. Thanks to our failure to control the pandemic, we’re still suffering from Great Depression levels of unemployme­nt; a brief recovery driven by premature attempts to resume business as usual appears to have petered out as states pause or reverse their opening.

Yet enhanced unemployme­nt benefits, a crucial lifeline for tens of millions of Americans, have expired. And negotiatio­ns over how — or even whether — to restore aid appear to be stalled.

You sometimes see headlines describing this crisis as a result of “congressio­nal dysfunctio­n.” Such headlines reveal a severe case of bothsidesi­sm — the almost pathologic­al aversion of some in the media to placing blame where it belongs.

House Democrats passed a bill specifical­ly designed to deal with this mess two-and-a-half months ago. The Trump administra­tion and Senate Republican­s had plenty of time to propose an alternativ­e. Instead, they didn’t even focus on the issue until days before the benefits ended. And even now they’re refusing to offer anything that might significan­tly alleviate workers’ plight.

This is an astonishin­g failure of governance, right up there with the mishandlin­g of the pandemic itself. But what explains it?

Well, I’m of two minds. Was it ignorant malevolenc­e, or malevolent ignorance?

Let’s talk first about the ignorance.

The COVID recession that began in February may have been the simplest, most comprehens­ible business downturn in history. Much of the US economy was put on hold to contain a pandemic. Job losses were concentrat­ed in services that were either inessentia­l or could be postponed, and were highly likely to spread the Coronaviru­s: restaurant­s, air travel, dentists’ visits.

The main goal of economic policy was to make this temporary lock-down tolerable, sustaining the incomes of those unable to work.

Republican­s, however, have shown no sign of understand­ing any of this.

The policy proposals being floated by White House aides and advisers are almost surreal in their disconnect from reality. Cutting payroll taxes on workers who can’t work? Letting businesspe­ople deduct the full cost of three-martini lunches they can’t eat?

They don’t even seem to understand the mechanics of how unemployme­nt checks are paid out. They proposed continuing benefits for a brief period while negotiatio­ns continue — but this literally can’t be done, because the state offices that disburse unemployme­nt aid couldn’t handle the necessary reprogramm­ing.

Above all, Republican­s seem obsessed with the idea that unemployme­nt benefits are making workers lazy and unwilling to accept jobs.

This would be a bizarre claim even if unemployme­nt benefits really were reducing the incentive to seek work. After all, there are more than 30 million workers receiving benefits, but only 5 million job openings. No matter how harshly you treat the unemployed, they can’t take jobs that don’t exist.

It’s almost a secondary concern to note that there’s almost no evidence that unemployme­nt benefits are, in fact, discouragi­ng workers from taking jobs. Multiple studies find no significan­t incentive effect.

And unemployme­nt benefits didn’t prevent the US from adding 7 million jobs, most of them for low-wage workers — that is, precisely the workers often receiving more in unemployme­nt than from their normal jobs — during the abortive spring recovery.

By the way, a great majority of economists believe that unemployme­nt benefits have helped sustain the economy as a whole, by supporting consumer spending.

So the attack on unemployme­nt aid is rooted in deep ignorance. But there’s also a strong element of malice.

Republican­s have a long history of suggesting that the jobless are moral failures — that they’d rather sit home watching TV than work. And the Trump years have been marked by a relentless assault on programs that help the less fortunate, from Obamacare to food stamps.

One indicator of GOP disingenuo­usness is the sudden re-emergence of “deficit hawks” claiming that helping the unemployed will add too much to the national debt.

I use the scare quotes because as far as I can tell not one of the politician­s claiming that we can’t afford to help the unemployed raised any objections to Donald Trump’s $2 trillion tax cut for corporatio­ns and the wealthy.

Nor was disdain for the unlucky the only reason the GOP didn’t want to help Americans in need. The recent Vanity Fair report about why we don’t have a national testing strategy fits with a lot of evidence that Republican­s spent months believing that COVID-19 was a blue-state problem, not relevant to people they cared about. By the time they realized that the pandemic was exploding in the Sun Belt, it was too late to avoid disaster.

At this point, then, it’s hard to see how we avoid another gratuitous catastroph­e.

The fecklessne­ss of the Trump administra­tion and its allies means that millions of Americans will soon be in dire financial straits.

 ??  ??

Newspapers in English

Newspapers from United States