Apple Magazine

WALL STREET SOURS ON SILICON VALLEY, BATTERING TECH STOCKS

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Investors for years have seemingly adored technology stocks as much as most people love their smartphone­s.

But Wall Street has suddenly soured on Silicon Valley and the rest of tech, triggering a stomachchu­rning downturn in a turbulent October.

Some of the hardest hit stocks belong to five companies — Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Netflix and Google. They have collective­ly attracted billions to their products, carving out lucrative markets they each dominate in an increasing­ly digital world. Investors latched on to their success and gave them their own acronym, “FAANG.” (It’s still in use even though Google now trades under the stock of its parent Alphabet Inc.)

What a difference a month makes. Since the end of September, individual FAANG stocks have plunged between 4 percent and 20 percent, collective­ly wiping out nearly $400 billion in paper shareholde­r wealth.

The downturn may seem puzzling, given that Apple’s iPhone sales are booming, the online shopping traffic keeps sending more consumers to Amazon, people are constantly asking Google to enlighten and direct them, people keep posting on Facebook and Netflix has never been a more popular entertainm­ent destinatio­n.

But these companies are facing rising challenges. President Donald Trump has escalated a trade war with China, for instance, and government­s are starting to consider tougher regulation that could curb tech’s influence. Employees at some large tech concerns are increasing­ly restive about their companies’ contributi­ons to military and immigratio­n-related projects.

Much of that contribute­s to concerns that the tech companies won’t be growing as much and as quickly as investors had expected. “We are starting to see ‘fork-in-the-road’ situation for technology,” said Wedbush Securities analysts Daniel Ives.

Investors currently are betting it will be a bumpy road. The tech-driven Nasdaq index is 12 percent below the high it reached in August.

The big-name tech stocks have been faring so well for so long that investors have been betting on even bigger things to come from the companies. Those wagers might take longer to pay off, or worse, fizzle completely if a slowing economy or a recession undermines their future growth.

Facebook and Google, for instance, might not be able to entice as many new users to their free digital services, and the advertisin­g that generates most of their revenue might shrivel away.

For Amazon, it might mean consumers curtail their spending on merchandis­e in its e-commerce site or decide they really don’t need an internetco­nnected speaker like the Echo after all. Netflix might have more difficulty attracting subscriber­s, and could even start seeing more cancellati­ons if households feel squeezed.

Rising interest rates are also weighing on stock prices, analysts say. Higher rates reduce the present value of future corporate earnings, which in turn undermines the justificat­ion for the lofty valuations — and high share prices — of tech companies.

These valuations are commonly measured by price-to-earnings ratios — the amount investors are willing to pay for each dollar of anticipate­d earnings. Consider Netflix, a company that began renting DVDs through the mail during the late 1990s, and which not long ago was considered to be worth more than Walt Disney Co. and its Magic Kingdom.

Even after the recent sell-off, Netflix’s priceto-earnings ratio stands at $107 for every $1 in earnings. By comparison, Disney’s is a more reasonable $14 for every $1 in earnings — and it’s also now worth about $37 billion more than Netflix.

The long tech rally boosted two members of the FAANG club — Apple and Amazon — to trilliondo­llar market valuations, making them the first U.S. companies to reach that milestone.

But Amazon’s market value now stands below $800 billion. Apple could also be knocked out of the $1 trillion club if its earnings for the latest quarter disappoint investors the same way Amazon and Alphabet reports did this past week.

“There are a lot of white knuckles out there right now, so all eyes are on Apple to emerge as the knight in shining armor,” Ives said.

Apple’s report for its fiscal fourth quarter is scheduled to be released Nov. 1. Analysts expect Apple to have earned $13.5 billion for the JulySeptem­ber quarter, or about $6 million every hour.

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