Arkansas Democrat-Gazette

ARMY VET

nips heels of Missouri senator.

- ERICA WERNER Informatio­n for this article was contribute­d by Jim Salter of The Associated Press.

KANSAS CITY, Mo. — The clamor for change fueling Republican Donald Trump’s presidenti­al campaign may help a little-known Democrat upset a powerful GOP senator in red-state Missouri on Election Day. And with just a handful of competitiv­e races around the country, the outcome in Missouri could help determine control of the Senate.

The contest between Missouri’s secretary of state, Democrat Jason Kander, and Sen. Roy Blunt did not start out high on either party’s list of competitiv­e Senate races in a state Trump is likely to win. But Kander, 35, an Army veteran, has proved to be a smart and aggressive campaigner, challengin­g Blunt’s attempts to brand him a liberal by running an ad in which he assembles an AR-15 rifle blindfolde­d and describes his combat service.

Kander also has sought, unapologet­ically, to exploit the outsider mood that’s propelled Trump to the fore, criticizin­g the 66-year-old Blunt as a Washington insider who is part of a failed system.

“Really, Donald Trump’s entire message is that people like Sen. Blunt are the problem,” Kander said before a recent rally in Kansas City where Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachuse­tts appeared on his behalf.

“Washington’s broken, and we’re not going to change Washington until we change the people we send there,” Kander added, “and here in Missouri, folks recognize that and they’re looking for a new generation of leadership.”

Missouri is one of three GOP-friendly states, along with North Carolina and Indiana, that have emerged as top battlegrou­nds as Democrats fight to gain a Senate majority. Democrats need to pick up five seats to accomplish that, or four if they win the presidency, because the vice president casts tie-breaking votes in the Senate.

Trump’s slide in the polls has sparked growing fears among Republican­s that he could cost them majorities in the Senate and even the House. Yet operatives on both sides say the top Senate races remain very close, and thus far, at least, GOP candidates have not cratered in the polls as a result of Trump’s problems.

Blunt counters Kander’s attacks by tying the Democrat to Hillary Clinton, the Democratic presidenti­al nominee, who is highly unpopular in the state, and by painting him as too liberal. Blunt’s ads describe the “Clinton-Kander agenda” and they hit Kander for supporting President Barack Obama’s health care law and policies on immigratio­n and taxes.

An ad released Saturday in support of Blunt’s campaign goes even further, portraying Clinton and Kander as identical on issues such as liberal Supreme Court justices. The ad by the Senate Leadership Fund acknowledg­es that Clinton is likely to be elected and argues, “One Hillary in Washington would be bad enough. Reject Jason Kander.”

An ad on the air for GOP Sen. Kelly Ayotte in New Hampshire contains a similar message. The strategy of arguing in favor of GOP congressio­nal candidates as a check against a President Clinton may become widespread if Trump’s loss looks inevitable.

“This is really an important time. You look at how much is at stake,” Blunt, who backs Trump, said at a rally in the St. Louis suburb of O’Fallon. “We’re going to live with this for a long time.”

Blunt served seven terms in the House before his election to the Senate in 2010, and he’s a member of the Senate GOP leadership. Yet he seemed to be caught unaware in a volatile election year in which Missouri voters also nominated a Republican candidate for governor who’s a young outsider with little political experience.

In recent weeks Blunt’s sagging poll numbers have forced GOP campaign committees to start spending millions to bail him out, to the annoyance of some Republican­s. And now Blunt is talking like he’s the underdog.

“It is not easy in our state,” Blunt said. “We’re in a fight. It’s one we can win, but nobody needs to take anything for granted here.”

Republican­s have tried all year to insulate their Senate candidates from disruption­s at the top of the ticket, running races focused on local issues and trying to avoid getting drawn into Trump’s controvers­ies. But as Trump’s poll numbers worsen with the election just over two weeks away, the limits of that strategy may start to show.

Democrats have a financial advantage going into the home stretch and intend to use it in part by running more ads that tie GOP incumbents and candidates to Trump. As Clinton pulls away from Trump nationally, that is freeing up even more money for Democratic candidates in the top Senate races: New Hampshire, Pennsylvan­ia, North Carolina, Indiana, Missouri and Nevada.

Republican­s have essentiall­y given up on incumbents in Illinois and Wisconsin, while GOP Sens. John McCain in Arizona and Rob Portman in Ohio are considered to be safe.

Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida is also looking strong, though for him and other Republican­s there is probably a limit to how far they can outrun Trump if the businessma­n suffers a major defeat.

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