Arkansas Democrat-Gazette

Nation’s existing-home sales subside 1.7 percent in August

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WASHINGTON — Existing-home sales across the United States stumbled in August for the fourth time in five months as strained supply levels continue to subdue overall activity, according to the National Associatio­n of Realtors. Sales gains in the Northeast and Midwest were outpaced by declines in the South and West.

Total existing-home sales (www.nar. realtor/topics/existing-home-sales),

which are completed transactio­ns that include single-family homes, townhomes, condominiu­ms and co-ops, retreated 1.7 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.35 million in August from 5.44 million in July. The month’s sales pace is 0.2 percent above August 2016 and is the lowest since then.

Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the NAR, said the slump in existing sales stretched into August, despite what remains a solid level of demand for buying a home.

“Steady employment gains, slowly rising incomes and lower mortgage rates generated sustained buyer interest all summer long but, unfortunat­ely, not more home sales,” Yun said.

“What’s ailing the housing market — and continues to weigh on overall sales — is the inadequate levels of available inventory and the upward pressure it’s putting on prices in several parts of the country,” he said. “Sales have been unable to break out because there are simply not enough homes for sale.”

Recent natural disasters are partly to blame for the slow in closings of home sales.

“Some of the South region’s decline in closings can be attributed to the devastatio­n Hurricane Harvey caused to the greater Houston area,” Yun said. “Sales will be impacted the rest of the year in Houston, as well as in the most severely affected areas in Florida from Hurricane Irma. However, nearly all of the lost activity will likely show up in 2018.”

The median existing-home price for all housing types in August was $253,500, up 5.6 percent from August 2016 ($240,000).

August’s price increase marks the 66th straight month of year-over-year gains.

Total housing inventory at the end of August declined 2.1 percent to 1.88 million existing homes available for sale, and is now 6.5 percent lower than a year ago (2.01 million) and has fallen year over year for 27 consecutiv­e months. Unsold inventory is at a 4.2-month supply at the current sales pace, which is down from 4.5 months a year ago.

Properties typically stayed on the market for 30 days in August, which is unchanged from July and down from 36 days a year ago. Fifty-one percent of homes sold in August were on the market for less than a month.

Inventory data from www.realtor.com reveals that the metropolit­an statistica­l areas where listings stayed on the market the shortest amount of time in August were San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, California (29 days); Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, Washington (30 days); Vallejo-Fairfield, California (31 days); and San FranciscoO­akland-Hayward, California, and Salt Lake City, Utah, both at 32 days.

“Market conditions continue to be stressful and challengin­g for both prospectiv­e first-time buyers and homeowners looking to trade up,” Yun said. “The ongoing rise in home prices is straining the budgets of some of these would-be buyers, and what is available for sale is moving off the market quickly because supply remains minimal in the lower- and mid-price ranges.”

First-time buyers accounted for 31 percent of sales in August, which is down from 33 percent in July and is the lowest share since last August (also 31 percent). The NAR’s 2016 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers, released in late 2016, revealed that the annual share of first-time buyers was 35 percent.

According to Freddie Mac, the average commitment rate for a 30-year, convention­al, fixed-rate mortgage fell to 3.88 percent in August from 3.97 percent in July and is the lowest since November 2016 (3.77 percent). The average commitment rate for all of 2016 was 3.65 percent.

All-cash sales were 20 percent of transactio­ns in August, up from 19 percent in July but down from 22 percent a year ago. Individual investors, who account for many cash sales, purchased 15 percent of homes in August, up from 13 percent in July and 12 percent a year ago.

Distressed sales (foreclosur­es and short sales) comprised 4 percent of sales in August, down from 5 percent both in July and a year ago. Three percent of August sales were foreclosur­es, and 1 percent were short sales.

According to NAR’s president, William E. Brown, a Realtor from Alamo, California, the housing market continues to recover from the depths of the financial crisis. However, the significan­t household wealth many homeowners have accumulate­d in recent years through rising home values could be at risk if any of the proposed tax provisions follow through with attempts to marginaliz­e the mortgage interest deduction and eliminate state and local tax deductions.

“Consumers are smart and know that any attempt to cap or limit the deductibil­ity of mortgage interest is essentiall­y a tax on homeowners­hip and the middle class,” Brown said.

“A study commission­ed by NAR found that under some tax-reform proposals, many homeowners with adjusted gross incomes between $50,000 and $200,000 would see an average tax increase of $815, along with home values shrinking by an average of more than 10 percent,” he said. “An even steeper decline would be seen in areas with higher property and state income taxes. Congress must keep homeowners in mind as it looks toward tax reform this year.”

SINGLE FAMILY, CONDO/CO-OP SALES

Single-family home sales decreased 2.1 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.74 million in August from 4.84 million in July, but are still 0.4 percent above the 4.72 million pace a year ago. The median existing single-family home price was $255,500 in August, up 5.6 percent from August 2016.

Existing condominiu­m and co-op sales climbed 1.7 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 610,000 units in August but are still 1.6 percent below a year ago. The median existing condo price was $237,600 in August, 5.4 percent above a year ago.

August existing-home sales in the Northeast jumped 10.8 percent to an annual rate of 720,000 and are now 1.4 percent above a year ago. The median price in the Northeast was $289,500, which is 5.6 percent above August 2016.

In the Midwest, existing-home sales rose 2.4 percent to an annual rate of 1.28 million in August and are now 0.8 percent above a year ago. The median price in the Midwest was $200,500, up 5.0 percent from a year ago.

Existing-home sales in the South decreased 5.7 percent to an annual rate of 2.15 million in August and are now 0.9 percent lower than a year ago. The median price in the South was $220,400, up 5.4 percent from a year ago.

Existing-home sales in the West fell 4.8 percent to an annual rate of 1.20 million in August but are still 0.8 percent above a year ago. The median price in the West was $374,700, up 7.7 percent from August 2016.

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