Arkansas Democrat-Gazette

Billionair­es may dictate space policy

- EMILY TAMKIN FOREIGN POLICY

Last month, the first space nation left the Internatio­nal Space Station. That space nation, Asgardia-1, is actually a satellite containing personal data from some of the “nation’s” 300,000 “citizens,” launched into space by billionair­e Igor Ashurbeyli.

Asgardia is unrecogniz­ed by the United Nations, and its citizens are people who filled out an applicatio­n form. The goal “is to provide permanent presence of humans in space,” Ashurbeyli said.

Ashurbeyli isn’t the only billionair­e with unusual ideas about what humanity should be doing in space. Recently, Politico and the New York

Times both published articles revealing that another tycoon, Robert Bigelow, had convinced lawmakers to secretly appropriat­e money to have the Pentagon look for UFOs.

In fact, a number of private individual­s of great wealth are charting the future of space policy, whether through money or influence. Some are in it for commercial interests, others for scientific curiosity. But whatever the reason, their new space race will change the rules of the game. Space is currently the realm of government­s (the Outer Space Treaty of 1967 was written for countries, not business magnates), and so the involvemen­t of wealthy individual­s is changing the nature of all that’s out of this world.

Here are some of their plans:

LIFE ON MARS

Elon Musk’s SpaceX, which he founded and leads as CEO and CTO, makes space launch vehicles. The company is trying to advance rocket technology, decrease the cost of human spacefligh­t (notably by reusing rockets), and colonize Mars. But some see Musk as more commercial­ly than environmen­tally motivated in his quest to escape earth. In the 1970s, getting away from earth was about getting back to it, an escape from government­s and religions and a move toward environmen­tal consciousn­ess, according to Patrick McCray of University of California, Santa Barbara. “The part that I find odd, or maybe just disappoint­ing, is that the original ideas about moving people off this planet into space in large numbers had more of an environmen­tal angle, trying to improve society as a whole,” McCray said. “I’m not really seeing that in Elon Musk’s descriptio­ns of colonies on Mars.”

SPACE TOURISM

Jeff Bezos’ Blue Origin, founded in 2000, also exists in part to bring down the cost of space travel by reusing rockets. But the company is interested in suborbital human space flights. On Dec. 12, Blue Origin launched its New Shepard tourist rocket for the first time in more than a year (the tourist was a test dummy).

Blue Origin launched an earlier version of that reusable rocket into space and landed it back on earth intact before SpaceX conducted a similar exercise, but SpaceX’s rocket was longer and its flight was longer. None of that stopped Bezos from tweeting, “Congrats SpaceX on landing Falcon’s suborbital booster stage. Welcome to the club!” in December 2015.

“Elon is absolutely fixated on going to Mars, and I think it’s his life mission,” Richard Branson, founder of Virgin Galactic, said in October on CNBC’s Squawk Box. “Jeff and ourselves [at the Virgin Group] are more interested in how we can use space to benefit the earth.” Virgin Galactic is looking to send a manned spacecraft up to altitudes of over 50 miles above the earth’s surface in the coming months.

Space tourism might someday include a stay in a space hotel, if Bigelow—the one who got the Pentagon to spend money on searching for UFOs— has his way. Bigelow Aerospace has high hopes of sending an inflatable hotel to orbit the moon. The company already has a commercial module mounted outside the Internatio­nal Space Station, where it will remain for at least three more years.

ALPHA CENTAURI DREAMS

Yuri Milner’s followers are quick to tell you that unlike Bezos, Branson, and Musk, Milner is not out to make money from space. Rather, he put $100 million into the Breakthrou­gh Starshot Initiative to push scientists to send a probe to Alpha Centauri (the closest star system to our solar system). He’s also Russian, and thus hailed by some as an example of the way in which the involvemen­t of the mega-rich could help further harmony between even unfriendly countries.

“Moving away from politics into the science-commercial approach, which is more global, is a blessing, in a way,” said Avi Loeb, chairman of the astronomy department at Harvard University and of the advisory committee for the Breakthrou­gh Starshot Initiative.

Space is one of the only arenas in which Russia and the United States are playing nice. The two countries agreed to work together to build the first space station to orbit the moon as recently as late September. That plan could fall by the wayside if private wealthy citizens take the place of government­s; Rep. Jim Bridenstin­e (R-Okla.), Trump’s pick to head NASA, has already said he would re-evaluate Russia’s relationsh­ip with the United States in space. (At present, the United States relies on Russia for transit to and from the Internatio­nal Space Station, for which it pays $81 million a seat.) Adam Routh of the Center for a New American Security said he could imagine a world in which businessme­n in space ask themselves, “What is the net gain for partnering with Russians?”

Larry Page and Eric Schmidt, the CEO and executive chairman, respective­ly, of Alphabet, Google’s parent company, both invested in Planetary Resources, whose mission is to mine asteroids, “add trillions of dollars to the global GDP,” and “help ensure humanity’s prosperity.”

“I think it’s actually growing the pie,” said Peter Marquez, vice president for global engagement at Planetary Resources, of private citizens joining national government­s in space exploratio­n. “They’re doing different things, but they’re all doing them in space.” Marquez is another optimist when it comes to the involvemen­t of wealthy men on the actions of government­s, saying it is “increasing cooperatio­n,” because investors are coming from different countries, where they are well known and influentia­l. That influence is needed for regulatory support, because the laws governing space are, in some cases, still to be written.

SPACE NATIONS

That brings us back to Ashurbeyli, who doesn’t want to increase government cooperatio­n but to do away with government­s altogether. There is “one humanity, one unity,” Ashurbeyli said. Any individual anywhere in the world 18 or over can apply for citizenshi­p in Asgardia, the first space nation. Ashurbeyli envisions one day putting arks of pensioners into space, and then, eventually, colonizing the moon. The Asgardia-1 satellite launched from NASA’s Wallops Flight Facility, and it holds Asgardia’s “citizens” data, stored in space, safe away from the rules and regulation­s of feuding nations (except for the United States, the laws of which technicall­y govern the satellite because it launched from a NASA-funded mission; terms and conditions of the “country’s” constituti­on warned, “Asgardia reserves the right to refuse access … to any user … [violating] any of the copyright or trademark laws of the United States, Austria or Great Britain.”).

Ashurbeyli would not disclose how much this cost, but he said it could be paid for with the money he had in his pocket. (He would not say how much he had in his pocket.)

 ??  ??

Newspapers in English

Newspapers from United States