Arkansas Democrat-Gazette

Month’s job-gain 148,000, U.S. says

Jobless rate stays at 4.1%; pay rises

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WASHINGTON — U.S. employers added 148,000 jobs in December, a modest gain but still enough to suggest that the economy entered the new year with solid momentum.

The Labor Department on Friday said the unemployme­nt rate was 4.1 percent, the same as in November. And average hourly earnings grew by 9 cents, to $26.63, bringing the year- over-year increase to

2.5 percent.

The modest but steady pace of hiring is a reassuring sign for investors who have been buoyed by the just-passed Republican tax plan and have been sending stock market indexes roaring to record highs.

The unspectacu­lar pace of job growth and wage increases is welcome news for financial markets, experts said, because if the numbers were much higher, investors would grow concerned that the Federal Reserve might accelerate its interest rate increases to ward off in-

flation. Higher rates, in turn, could slow the economy and send stocks down.

Taken as a whole, Friday’s report pointed to the job market’s strength and resilience 8½ years into an economic expansion. Hiring remains steady and is underpinni­ng an economy that’s both contributi­ng to and benefiting from an improved global outlook. The tax cuts are raising hopes for faster growth and higher corporate profits, and fueling powerful gains in financial markets.

“I think it’s going to be an awfully good year,” said Carl Tannenbaum, chief economist at Northern Trust. “Absent something unforeseen, this could be one of the best years of the expansion.”

Investors again sent stock

prices after 25,000 Strong growth average “You’ve The the Tannenbaum higher mark growth slowing pace isn’t Dow broke for got Friday, Jones surprising: for and the pace through the markets: low first said. industrial one ‘Goldilocks’ of inflation,” time. day job the It typically levels available monthly and job for happens fewer falls growth hiring. to people when ultra-low Average has unemployme­nt declined are from 2014. Last a to peak 171,000 year’s of 250,000 gains this were year in the Despite fewest since low 2010. unemployme­nt employers and the face difficulty in finding some enough qualified workers, pay gains remain sluggish. Average hourly earnings rose 2.5 percent in December from a year earlier — about a full percentage point lower than is typical in a healthy economy.

Friday’s unemployme­nt report offers a picture of how the economy fared in President Donald Trump’s first year in office. The numbers will be revised at least twice in the next months. But the data suggest that things have been going quite well.

The December gain is the 87th consecutiv­e month of job growth, an unparallel­ed stretch of good news for workers, who continue to be in high demand.

Job growth for the year was slightly less robust than in 2016 under President Barack Obama. Most economists think presidents do not generally determine the course of the economy, although that has not stopped Trump from taking credit.

In a Twitter post Wednesday, the president pointed to the unemployme­nt rate as evidence that the economy is “only getting better!”

said monthly than Gary Friday 200,000. adviser Cohn, job that growth the The to he top Trump, of wanted corporate more economic that help took and push individual effect hiring Monday back tax up cuts will to that higher level worker this pay, year he and said spur on Bloomberg TV.

“We see the economy continuous­ly growing and continuous­ly adding jobs, and remember tax reform is now 5 days old and the input that that’s going to have into the economy is … just barely starting to have an effect,” Cohn said. “We are committed to real wage growth and we do believe you’ll see it over the course of the next year or two.”

Solid economic growth in both the United States and major countries overseas is supporting more overall hiring. Factory managers say new orders grew more quickly in December than in any month since 2004. Retailers have reported strong Christmas sales. Builders are ramping up home constructi­on to meet growing demand.

Last month, blue-collar hiring showed solid gains: Manufactur­ing and constructi­on added 25,000 and 30,000 jobs, respective­ly. A category that includes hotels and restaurant­s gained 29,200.

Retailers cut 20,300 jobs, mostly in department store chains such as Macy’s, which announced this week that it would close 11 additional stores. That suggests that stores hired fewer seasonal workers for the holidays, a sign of the effects of e-commerce.

Most economists expect the Trump administra­tion’s tax cuts to help speed the economy’s already decent pace of growth. Some envision the unemployme­nt rate dropping as low as 3.5 percent by the end of 2018. That would be the lowest rate in nearly a half-century

and could force employers to raise pay at a much faster pace to attract workers. Many businesses might also seek to automate some tasks to slow labor costs.

Tom Gimbel, chief executive of the LaSalle Network, a recruiting firm in Chicago, said his clients are eager to hire and are willing to pay higher fees to attract workers who already have jobs. Some of his clients are expanding their human resources department­s because they expect hiring to be more difficult with unemployme­nt so low.

“In 23 years, it’s the best job market I’ve ever seen,” Gimbel said. “I don’t see that changing.”

Many business are already howling that they can’t find enough qualified people. There are roughly 6 million available jobs, near a record high, according to government data.

Wayne Jones, chief executive officer of Anthony’s Coal-Fired Pizza, a 65-restaurant chain, says his company had to work harder to find employees when it opened its first restaurant in Chicago in October. After a successful Christmas season, the chain expects to open another restaurant in Chicago in the spring, creating roughly 70 jobs, and three more restaurant­s by year’s end.

In Chicago, the chain took longer to staff up for its first restaurant, in order to find the right candidates. The company has kept wage growth above inflation: A starting cook can make up to $16 an hour.

“As the economy picks up steam,” Jones said, “you can feel there’s more pressure on wages.” Informatio­n for this article was contribute­d by Christophe­r S. Rugaber of The Associated Press, Natalie Kitroeff of The New York Times and Jim Puzzangher­a of the Los Angeles Times.

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