Arkansas Democrat-Gazette

CALLS ARISE to delay Brexit trade talks.

- MARK LANDLER AND STEPHEN CASTLE

LONDON — As leaders on both sides of the English Channel batten down the hatches for the coronaviru­s, Prime Minister Boris Johnson of Britain is coming under rising pressure to ask the European Union for an extension in its negotiatio­ns to reach a trade agreement — in effect, putting off the next stage of Brexit until the virus exits.

Under the terms of its withdrawal agreement with the bloc, Britain legally left the European Union on Jan. 31, but is now in a transition period that preserves most of the old relationsh­ip, and has until Dec. 31 to strike a new deal. European officials, and many in Britain, have already said that timetable was hopelessly compressed.

Now, with face-to-face negotiatio­ns on hold, analysts said Johnson should invoke his right to request an extension so that government­s on both sides can concentrat­e on managing the response to the virus and mitigating the economic shock that is almost certain to follow it.

“It’s going to be awfully difficult for the government to focus on this while dealing with the virus and maybe a financial crisis, too,” said David Henig, a former British trade negotiator. “We are already being overtaken by events, and I think that pressure is going to start to become pretty intense.”

A spokesman for Johnson said on Friday that Britain had no plans to ask for an extension and that there were ways to conduct the negotiatio­ns even during the peak of the outbreak. Most of the substantiv­e talks are not expected to happen until the fall, and in the meantime, officials are discussing options for video conferenci­ng links.

The opening round of negotiatio­ns took place in Brussels this month. Negotiator­s called off a plan to meet in person in London next week.

But the rapid spread of the virus is already forcing the British

government to reconsider its restrained response in other respects. After declining to follow other European countries in banning large public gatherings or closing schools, Britain is now considerin­g both steps. Johnson had already postponed local elections, scheduled for May, until next year.

“In a rational world, the U.K. would ask for an extension in June even if coronaviru­s wasn’t happening,” said John Springford, the deputy director of the Center for European Reform, a London-based think tank.

“The pandemic makes it even more pressing,” Springford said, “because the British state will not have the personnel needed to enact the sweeping changes necessary to leave the single market.”

Britain must design and implement new customs and immigratio­n systems; draft regulation­s on transporta­tion, aviation and food safety; and begin negotiatin­g individual trade deals with the United States, Australia, and many other countries. Analysts estimate that by itself, the additional workload from Brexit has necessitat­ed adding 27,500 government jobs.

In January, when few leaders in the West had begun focusing on the coronaviru­s, the president of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, urged Johnson to consider requesting an extension. Under the terms of the agreement, the prime minister must decide whether to do so by June.

Though video conference­s can substitute for many face-toface meetings, the Brexit talks are complex, ranging over an array of issues, from fisheries to finance, and involving a British negotiatin­g team of 100 officials.

Analysts noted that coronaviru­s could give Johnson political cover to ask for an extension, if that was what he wanted to do anyway. Last fall, the prime minister cited a law passed by Parliament as giving him no choice but to ask for the withdrawal deadline to be moved from October to January.

For Johnson, however, such a move poses a dilemma. Under the terms of its agreement, Britain would be required to pay billions of dollars to the European Union if it continued to have access to the single market and customs union beyond the transition period that ends in December.

That would be an acute embarrassm­ent for Johnson, damaging him particular­ly with the hard-line Brexit wing of his Conservati­ve Party. Pro-Brexit forces have already begun campaignin­g against a delay — suggesting, in a strategy that echoes some defenders of President Donald Trump in the United States, that these calls were part of an effort to exaggerate and politicize the virus for partisan ends.

One solution might be to propose a shorter extension than the one or two years so far envisioned — a period of three or six months, for example. That would relieve some of the deadline pressure on the negotiator­s while not raising serious doubts about the Johnson government’s commitment to Brexit.

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