Arkansas Democrat-Gazette

Overcoming hesitance toward vaccinatio­ns

- OPINION DOUG BADGER AND EDMUND F. HAISLMAIER Doug Badger is a Visiting Fellow at The Heritage Foundation. Edmund F. Haislmaier, an expert in health care policy and markets, is Heritage’s Preston Wells Senior Research Fellow.

One-third of Republican respondent­s told pollsters recently that they don’t plan to get covid-19 shots. Another 20 percent said they haven’t yet made up their minds.

While public health officials have been worried about vaccine skepticism among minorities, the poll’s responses diverged much more by political affiliatio­n than by race.

To understand why many politicall­y moderate to conservati­ve Americans seem disincline­d to get vaccinated, GOP pollster Frank Luntz recently convened a focus group of “vaccine-hesitant Trump voters.” What he heard, as reported by The Washington Post, was illuminati­ng.

By the end of the session, all the participan­ts said they were now more likely to get immunized.

One participan­t’s comment crystalliz­ed the key lesson from the two-hour exercise: “We want to be educated, not indoctrina­ted.”

What changed their minds had nothing to do with politics. Participan­ts said that an appeal from former President Donald Trump wouldn’t persuade them to get a shot. Nor did messages they viewed from various congressio­nal Republican­s. A pro-vaccine public service announceme­nt produced by Fox News fell flat. So did a PSA featuring former Presidents Barack Obama, George W. Bush, Bill Clinton and Jimmy Carter.

Participan­ts found the voice of government authority similarly unpersuasi­ve. A pharmacist who formerly worked at Merck, a company helping to produce vaccines, said: “I know their vaccines are good products. I trust them. What I don’t trust is the government telling me what I need to do when they haven’t led us down the right road.”

So what made these Trump supporters shift their views on vaccines? Science, offered straight-up with a dash of humility.

The unlikely change agent is Dr.

Tom Frieden, who headed the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention during the Obama administra­tion. Frieden appealed to facts, not his credential­s. He noted that the theory behind the vaccine was backed by 20 years of research, that tens of thousands of people had participat­ed in well-controlled clinical trials, and that the overwhelmi­ng share of doctors have opted for the shots.

He leavened those facts with an acknowledg­ment of uncertaint­y. He conceded that the vaccine’s potential long-term risks were unknown. He pointed out that the virus’ long-term effects were also uncertain.

“He’s just honest with us and telling us nothing is 100 percent here, people,” one participan­t noted.

Contrast that with what we’ve heard from the CDC, which has too often professed to know things with certainty, only to be later proven wrong.

Until March 19, for example, CDC recommende­d that students be kept six feet apart in classrooms. The agency’s “science brief” on the subject says that its “recommenda­tion for six feet of physical distancing is based on historical studies of other contagious diseases.”

But the CDC brief does not cite a single classroom study supporting the six-foot separation. The only classroom-based study it cites for that standard examined a 1982 meningitis outbreak in an elementary school. According to CDC, that study found that the “carriage rate was higher for students in a classroom with chairs spaced less than 40 inches (3.33 feet) apart”—not six feet.

The findings of that study, and a long list of others, are consistent with recommenda­tions from the World Health Organizati­on and the American Academy of Pediatrics that schoolchil­dren maintain a distance of 1 meter (3.28 feet).

CDC has neverthele­ss complicate­d school reopenings by recommendi­ng, until quite recently, that schools place desks at least six feet apart.

As Dr. Ashish Jha, dean of the Brown University School of Public Health, told The New York Times, “Six feet doesn’t protect teachers, but it does keep kids out of school.”

Although millions may uncritical­ly accept CDC’s recommenda­tions, it’s no wonder that millions more do not. It’s not that they are anti-science, it’s that they don’t blindly accept whatever they’re being told by “experts” and government officials. They want to base decisions about their health on reliable informatio­n honestly presented, understand­ing that every option comes with a degree of uncertaint­y.

In that sense, vaccine hesitancy among Republican­s doesn’t look all that different from vaccine hesitancy among minorities.

“I’ve been thinking the messaging was going to be very different for communitie­s of color, for Democrats, for Republican­s,” Natalie Davis, a co-founder of the left-leaning United States of Care, told The Washington Post. “But it feels like it comes down to the basics that are shared across population­s. People want full, accurate informatio­n so they can decide if this is the right thing for them and their loved ones.”

It’s a sobering message for many in the expert class, whose hectoring on everything from covid-19 to climate change rests on asserting their authority and demanding acquiescen­ce. It turns out, people are more receptive to education than indoctrina­tion.

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