Arkansas Democrat-Gazette

G-7 rejects paying Russia in rubles

- FRANK JORDANS

BERLIN — The Group of Seven major economies agreed Monday to reject Moscow’s demand to pay for Russian natural gas exports in rubles.

German Energy Minister Robert Habeck told reporters that “all G-7 ministers agreed completely that this [would be] a one-sided and clear breach of the existing contracts” for natural gas, which is used to heat homes, generate electricit­y and power industry.

The energy ministers of France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United States, the United Kingdom and Canada, as well as the European Union energy commission­er, met by videoconfe­rence and reaffirmed that contracts “must be respected,” with most stipulatin­g payments be in euros or dollars, a G-7 statement said.

“Payment in ruble is not acceptable, and we will urge the companies affected not to follow [Russian President Vladimir] Putin’s demand,” Habeck said.

Putin announced last week that Russia will demand “unfriendly” countries pay for natural gas only in Russian currency, instructin­g the central bank to work out a procedure for buyers to acquire rubles in Russia.

The order would essentiall­y force European companies to directly prop up the currency after it was sent into free fall by sanctions placed on the Russian economy after the invasion of Ukraine. Putin ordered his government, Gazprom — the mostly state-owned energy corporatio­n — and the central bank to prepare all the necessary documents to switch to ruble payments by Thursday.

Even as the deadline looms, neither officials in the Russian government nor Gazprom executives have been able to shed light on how the surprise order will be implemente­d.

EU leaders last week also forcefully rejected Russia’s attempt to require payments be made in rubles. “It’s a contract violation, and contracts will be considered violated if Russia implements this condition,” Italian Prime Minister Mario Draghi told reporters in Brussels last Thursday.

Putin’s demand sent already high gas prices even higher amid fears it could be a prelude to a natural gas shutoff, which could disrupt Europe’s economy and hurt Russia’s finances.

Economists said the move appeared designed to try to support the ruble, which has

collapsed against other currencies since the Feb. 24 invasion of Ukraine and Western countries responded with far-reaching sanctions against Moscow. But some analysts expressed doubt that it would work.

Asked by reporters earlier Monday if Russia could cut natural gas supplies to European customers if they reject the demand to pay in rubles, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said in a conference call that “we clearly aren’t going to supply gas for free.”

“In our situation, it’s hardly possible and feasible to engage in charity for Europe,” Peskov said.

Asked what happens if Russia turns off the taps now, Germany’s energy minister said, “We are prepared for all scenarios.”

“Putin’s demand to convert the contracts to ruble [means] he is standing with his back to the wall in that regard, otherwise he wouldn’t have made that demand,” Habeck said, adding that Russia needs rubles to finance its war at home, such as payments to troops.

European government­s have shied away from imposing a ban on energy imports from Russia over fears of the impact it would have on the economy. Europe gets 40% of its gas and 25% of its oil from Russia, and since the war, has scrambled to set out proposals to reduce its dependency. Russia is just as reliant on Europe, with oil and gas its dominant sector and paying for government.

Estimates of the impact of a gas boycott or embargo on Europe vary but most involve a substantia­l loss of economic output, especially since the war and the resulting surge in energy and raw material prices is already weighing on Europe’s economy. U.S. sanctions permit exceptions for payments for oil and gas, though it has banned Russian energy imports itself.

Putin’s rubles payment proposal led Germany’s utilities associatio­n, the BDEW, to call on the government to declare an “early warning” of an energy emergency.

A spokeswoma­n said Monday that the government does not see the need for an early warning declaratio­n at this time.

When pressed by reporters on making the declaratio­n, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz said “the contracts we know lay down the euro as payment currency and the companies will pay according to the contracts they have signed.”

What currency is used to buy Russian energy “doesn’t really matter,” said Robin Brooks, chief economist at the Institute of Internatio­nal Finance, a trade group for the world’s banks.

“What matters is that energy exports give Russia purchasing power, which it can convert into goods from abroad,” she said.

Putin’s demand for payment in rubles “is mostly window dressing. It doesn’t change the underlying transactio­ns,” Brooks said. “At the margin, I would call this another ‘own goal’ by Putin, since it increases the focus on gas purchases by Western Europe and could potentiall­y raise the odds of an import stop.”

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