Arkansas Democrat-Gazette

Stocks stay put ahead of market-moving reports

- STAN CHOE Informatio­n for this article was contribute­d by Matt Ott and Zimo Zhong of The Associated Press.

NEW YORK — U.S. stock indexes held at a near standstill again on Tuesday, as traders made their final moves ahead of some potentiall­y market-moving reports.

The S&P 500 edged up by 7.52 points, or 0.1%, to 5,209.91 after barely budging the day before. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 9.13 points, or less than 0.1%, to 38,883.67, while the Nasdaq composite rose 52.68, or 0.3%, to 16,306.64.

Treasury yields eased in the bond market ahead of today’supdate on inflation at the U.S. consumer level. This week will also bring other reports on inflation, while big U.S. companies will begin delivering their reports for the first three months of the year.

The dominant question hanging over Wall Street is whether inflation will cool enough to convince the Federal Reserve to deliver the cuts to interest rates that traders are craving and have been betting on.

Some doubts have crept in following a series of hotterthan-expected reports on the economy, and traders now expect just two or three cuts to rates this year. Some are even talking about the possibilit­y of zero. That’s down from forecasts at the start of the year for six or seven cuts, according to data from CME Group.

The Fed’s main interest rate has been sitting at its highest level in more than two decades, and the fear is that rates left too high for too long can cause a recession.

If fewer cuts arrive this year, the onus will be on companies to deliver strong growth in profits to justify the nearly 25% leap for the S&P 500 since the end of October. Critics say stock prices look expensive on several measures, and either profits need to rise or interest rates need to fall to make them look more reasonable.

Strategist­s at Bank of America are looking for today’s inflation update to show a cooldown after ignoring food and energy prices, which can zigzag sharply. Such a result would likely increase traders’ expectatio­ns for a cut to rates in June, which the market currently sees as slightly better than a coin flip’s probabilit­y.

While a jump in oil prices this year has raised worries about a feedthroug­h into inflation, oil would likely need to rise “well above levels seen even in the peak RussiaUkra­ine commodity price spike for a meaningful impact on core inflation,” the Bank of America strategist­s said in a BofA Global Research report.

A barrel of benchmark U.S. crude fell $1.20 to settle at $85.23, trimming its gain for the year so far below 20%.

Brent crude, the internatio­nal standard, fell 96 cents to $89.42 per barrel.

On Wall Street, Apple shares helped nudge the S&P 500 higher by rising 0.7%. It trimmed it loss for the year to a shade below 12%.

Some of Wall Street’s largest losses came from the same stocks that have been the biggest winners in the market’s frenzy around artificial-intelligen­ce technology.

Nvidia sank 2%, and because it’s one of the biggest stocks in the market, it was the single heaviest force weighing on the S&P 500. Super Micro Computer fell 2.6%, though its stock has still more than tripled so far this year.

Tilray Brands tumbled 20.7% after the cannabis company reported weaker revenue growth for its latest quarter than analysts expected.

In the bond market, the yield on the 10-year Treasury eased from 4.42% late Monday to 4.35%.

In Europe, stock indexes sank ahead of a decision by the European Central Bank on Thursday about interest rates. Many investors expect it to hold rates steady.

Stock indexes were mixed in Asia, with Tokyo’s Nikkei 225 jumping 1.1% but South Korea’s Kospi falling 0.5%.

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