Baltimore Sun Sunday

Anything you can do, AI can do better?

- By Thomas C. Linn

Once large law firms had armies of first-year law graduates, combing documents for relevant informatio­n; now machines largely do it. New artificial intelligen­ce diagnosed lung cancer 50 percent more accurately than radiology experts last year. And the U.S. Postal Service plans to deploy autonomous trucks by 2025.

These are signs of big change, precipitat­ed by a wave of new artificial intelligen­ce resulting from a perfect storm of investment­s and developmen­t these past five years. And coming developmen­ts will increasing­ly enable machines to do more mental and physical tasks faster, better and cheaper than humans.

The implicatio­ns are profound. “Artificial intelligen­ce is the new electricit­y,” says AI scientist Andrew Ng. Just as electrific­ation transforme­d the world, so will artificial intelligen­ce. It portends greater productivi­ty and economic growth and will help manage increasing complexiti­es. It also has the potential to keep the United States “on the cutting edge of innovation,” according to a 2016 report by the Executive Office of the President.

This is a high-stakes race. China seeks dominance of the global artificial intelligen­ce industry and is planning a $150 billion A.I. sector. For America, second place is unaffordab­le. This is our “Sputnik Moment.” But we must get it right. “If the U.S. fails to improve at educating children and retraining adults with the skills needed in an increasing­ly AI-driven economy, the country risks leaving millions of Americans behind and losing its position as the global economic leader” the presidenti­al report concludes.

Prediction­s are dire: “About 47 percent of total U.S. employment is at risk,” according to an often cited 2013 Oxford University report: The Future of Employment: How Susceptibl­e are Jobs to Computeris­ation?

But what do you teach humans, when machines are increasing­ly outperform­ing them?

One answer: “We need to be good at doing what smart machines can’t do better than us ... that means being good at critical and innovative thinking,” wrote Ed Hess of the Darden School of Business at the University of Virginia.

Critical thinking involves research — and artificial intelligen­ce can help, but human curiosity drives it. “The capacity to remain capricious­ly curious about anything, including random things, and pursue one’s interest with passion may remain exclusivel­y human,” write data experts Tomas Chamorro-Premuzic and Ben Taylor in Harvard Business Review.

“You absolutely need humans as the genesis of ideas,” chimes in Stephen Pratt, CEO of Noodle.ai, an enterprise artificial intelligen­ce company.

Ideas come from looking skepticall­y at something and asking, “why is it that way?” Ideas also focus critical thinking and lead to creativity — the big, leaps-of-faith kind like inductive reasoning. In the early 1980's, Steve Jobs saw Xerox's research on graphic computer interfaces, and inferred that a more user-friendly computer was possible.

“Breakthrou­gh creativity is fundamenta­lly organic, not algorithmi­c,” says tech entreprene­ur Nick Seneca Jankel. “No computer, no matter how powerful, will ever be able to purposeful­ly innovate.”

And thus far, no computer has been particular­ly effective at writing. Sure, artificial intelligen­ce writes — newspaper articles, poetry, reports — but its results are basically words in a template, with no thought, nuance or style. Critical thinking manifested in good writing is uniquely human.

Yet critical thinking and effective writing aren’t yet higher education staples. “There are a lot of students who enter college as lousy writers — and who graduate without seeming to make much, if any, improvemen­t,” according to The Washington Post and The Wall Street Journal, which reported this spring that “many colleges fail to improve criticalth­inking skills.”

Now more than ever, schools need to help students hone these uniquely human skills. Without them, we all risk replacemen­t by robot.

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