Baltimore Sun Sunday

Could billionair­es in space bring science back to the moon?

- By Christophe­r Wanjek Christophe­r Wanjek (wanjek@gmail.com) is a science writer and author of “Spacefarer­s: How Humans Will Settle the Moon, Mars, and Beyond” (Harvard University Press, 2020).

The recent forays into the mesosphere by billionair­es Richard Branson and Jeff Bezos, of Virgin Records and Amazon fame, respective­ly, may indeed usher in a new era of space tourism, albeit for very wealthy individual­s.

Within a decade, these thrill rides piercing the atmosphere for a few minutes could lead to trips to simple, inflatable orbiting space hotels, where occupants can spend a week to a month playing in zero gravity.

Similarly, as space access becomes cheaper, companies will turn to spacebased manufactur­ing to create useful products in zero gravity, such as novel crystals and semiconduc­tors. Solar panels could be deployed as well, with collected energy beamed down to Earth.

What, then, is NASA’s purpose in low-earth orbit? Very little, it seems, aside from maintainin­g its own satellites placed there by commercial rockets.

The ISS, orbiting a mere 250 miles above Earth, may provide a certain element of awesomenes­s for some. But it has outlived its purpose. And at $150 billion to build and at least $4 billion annually to maintain, the ISS has been and continues to be a strain on the NASA budget.

Why not hand over the ISS to commercial interests and apply that annual budget to a permanent Moon base?

While sounding sacrilegio­us in some circles, government­s — primarily the U.S. and Russia — pioneering the technology of rocketry and orbital maneuverin­g over the course of 60 years to enable a commercial, low-earth-orbit space industry should be viewed as a success.

Meanwhile, there is much work needed on the Moon to enable — decades from now — commercial mining, lunar tourism and other activities. We could start today with internatio­nal bases modeled after what we have in Antarctica, where rotating scientists and engineers venture for a few months per year, and a separate hardy crew will over winter and spend a year or two.

We could conduct science on the Moon that is far more practical than that we perform on the ISS, namely the effect of low gravity on human health. (We know zero gravity is bad, but the future of humankind in space will be either in the low gravity of the Moon or Mars or in artificial gravity.) The Moon would provide practice for visiting Mars as well.

NASA has plans to return humans to the Moon by 2024 in what is called the Artemis program. But that 2024 target date, set by the Donald Trump administra­tion, is a time frame most space experts have deemed impractica­l. With White House pressure now lifted, NASA can forgo this myopic flag-planting mission and instead, together with other nations, plan for sustainabl­e scientific bases on the Moon.

We should postpone sending humans to the Moon for at least 10 years and instead focus on infrastruc­ture to enable sustainabi­lity: communicat­ion satellites in cislunar space between the Earth and moon; robotic landers capable of liberating oxygen locked to minerals in the lunar “regolith” ground cover (for us to breathe); diggers capable of harvesting ice frozen in shaded craters; inflatable habitats to be covered roboticall­y with regolith to protect future inhabitant­s against radiation; and grow chambers to produce vegetation and to recycle carbon dioxide into oxygen.

With infrastruc­ture in place, humans could land lightly in the early 2030s and live off the land.

Some argue that China’s lunar ambitions will trigger a new space race, as if that’s a good thing. However, the space race of the 1960s was a tremendous tax on the U.S. budget, nearly $200 billion in today’s dollars. And as simply a race to beat the Soviets, this madness provided no means to establish permanence on the Moon. Yet working with China and other spacefarin­g nations, we have the opportunit­y to establish true internatio­nal spirit on the Moon as we have done successful­ly in Antarctica.

The billionair­es and their companies — Mr. Branson’s Virgin Galactic, Mr. Bezos’ Blue Origin and Tesla founder Elon Musk’s SpaceX — have demonstrat­ed that near space is firmly within reach of commercial enterprise. It just might be the nudge NASA and its internatio­nal partners needed to get out of the Internatio­nal Space Station and onto the Moon.

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