Flood fears sub­side, but more rain likely next week as storm looms

Baltimore Sun - - NEWS - By Scott Dance sdance@balt­sun.com twit­ter.com/MdWeather

Driz­zle and some show­ers are ex­pected to con­tinue across Cen­tral Mary­land into Satur­day, but fears of wide­spread flood­ing did not ma­te­ri­al­ize Thurs­day as the heav­i­est rain fell on the south­ern­most por­tions of the state.

Rain­fall sur­passed 3 inches in parts of the Bal­ti­more re­gion from Wed­nes­day night through Thurs­day morn­ing, with 3.83 inches reported in Rosedale and 3.3 inches in Elkridge, ac­cord­ing to the Na­tional Weather Ser­vice.

About 2.5 inches fell at Bal­ti­moreWash­ing­ton In­ter­na­tional Thur­good Marshall Air­port, the re­gion’s point of record, in­clud­ing more than an inch dur­ing the morn­ing rush hour, con­tribut­ing to ma­jor traf­fic prob­lems.

In­ter­state 695 was closed in both di­rec­tions near the Key Bridge af­ter a trac­tor­trailer over­turned. An­other crash was reported on the north­bound Jones Falls Ex­press­way near the Pepsi sign in Wood­berry.

Af­ter that, the heavy pre­cip­i­ta­tion steered clear of the Bal­ti­more re­gion, though there were lin­ger­ing risks of flood­ing overnight.

The mas­sive low-pres­sure sys­tem bring­ing rainy and un­set­tled con­di­tions across

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For weather up­dates, go to bal­ti­more­sun.com the east­ern part of the coun­try de­liv­ered its heav­i­est pre­cip­i­ta­tion across South­ern Mary­land and the East­ern Shore. By 5 p.m., more than 7 inches had fallen in Prince Frederick in Calvert County, while Sal­is­bury saw nearly 5 inches and Ocean City nearly 4 inches.

A flash-flood watch was can­celed on Thurs­day af­ter the threat of heavy rain­fall ap­peared to have passed. Most of the rain was con­cen­trated over the Shenan­doah Val­ley in Vir­ginia and in Delaware, said Dan Hof­mann, a me­te­o­rol­o­gist with the weather ser­vice’s Bal­ti­more/ Wash­ing­ton forecast of­fice.

“Although there will still be pe­ri­ods of show­ers over the next day or two, the pos­si­bil­ity of heavy rain has di­min­ished to the point where we no longer need the watch,” he said. “The high­est risk for flood­ing has passed.”

Hof­mann said the Bal­ti­more area might see sun­shine by Sun­day.

Rain chances are forecast to ta­per off by this morn­ing, though con­di­tions should re­main gloomy, with winds blow­ing in from the At­lantic. Damp and windy con­di­tions are forecast through­out the day, with gusts up to 25 or 30 mph, said NWSme­te­o­rol­o­gist Bryan Jackson. More show­ers are pos­si­ble this evening and early Satur­day.

Af­ter that, tran­quil and sea­son­able weather is forecast to re­turn Sun­day and through most of next week.

But the specter of a trop­i­cal storm or hur­ri­cane looms by the end of the week.

The trop­i­cal sys­tem named Matthew be­came this year’s fifth At­lantic hur­ri­cane early Thurs­day af­ter­noon, and fore­cast­ers ex­pect it to make a north­ward turn over the next few days.

The hur­ri­cane had max­i­mum sus­tained winds of 75 mph at its core, cen­tered in the Caribbean Sea sev­eral hun­dred miles south of Puerto Rico.

By Satur­day, fore­cast­ers pre­dict it will turn north­ward to­ward Ja­maica and Cuba.

It’s too early to pre­dict its track be­yond that, but fore­cast­ing mod­els sug­gest it could make its way up the At­lantic coast. Me­te­o­rol­o­gists at the Na­tional Weather Ser­vice of­fice in Wake­field, Va., which cov­ers Ocean City and the lower East­ern Shore, said the storm poses some “un­cer­tainty” in the long-term forecast.

MATT BUT­TON/BAL­TI­MORE SUN ME­DIA GROUP

With her um­brella overhead, a woman makes her way to Bel Air Ele­men­tary School in Thurs­day’s rainy weather. Rain­fall sur­passed 3 inches in parts of the Bal­ti­more re­gion from Wed­nes­day night through Thurs­day morn­ing. About 2.5 inches fell at BWI Air­port.

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