Poll: Race nearly tied with a week to go

Baltimore Sun - - ELECTION 2016 - By Emily Guskin and Scott Cle­ment

Pres­i­den­tial nom­i­nees Hil­lary Clin­ton and Don­ald Trump are all but tied in the latest Wash­ing­ton PostABC News Track­ing Poll, which finds Clin­ton back­ers slip­ping be­hind in en­thu­si­asm even as the Demo­crat has an edge in early vot­ing.

The poll finds lit­tle shift in Clin­ton’s over­all sup­port fol­low­ing news of the FBI’s re­newed look at Clin­ton emails, but strong en­thusi- asm among her sup­port­ers fell be­hind Trump.

By 53 to 43 per­cent, more Trump sup­port­ers say they are “very en­thu­si­as­tic” about him, com­pared with Thurs­day and Fri­day when Trump’s edge was neg­li­gi­ble — 53 per­cent vs. 51 per­cent.

Voter en­thu­si­asm has been in short sup­ply for both Clin­ton and Trump through the fall cam­paign and con­tin­ues to lag ex­cite­ment about can­di­dates on the bal­lot four years ago.

At this point in 2012, 64 per­cent of Pres­i­dent Barack Obama sup­port­ers said they were “very en­thu­si­as­tic” about him; Rom­ney was be­hind at 61 per­cent.

Trump and Clin­ton con­tinue to run nearly even in over­all vote pref­er­ences, with Trump at 46 per­cent and Clin­ton 45 per­cent in a four-way con­test in the poll. The mar­gin is a mir­ror 48-47 Clin­ton-Trump split when third-party can­di­dates are asked which ma­jor-party can­di­date they lean to­ward, a com­par­i­son that has grown in im­por- tance as sup­port de­clines for Lib­er­tar­ian Gary John­son and the Green Party’s Jill Stein.

Over 1 in 5 likely vot­ers iden­ti­fied in the Post-ABC poll re­port as hav­ing al­ready voted, 21 per­cent, while about one-quar­ter say they plan to vote early or by mail, 24 per­cent, and a slight ma­jor­ity plan to vote in­per­son on Elec­tion Day.

The poll of a ran­dom sam­ple of 1,773 adults was con­ducted Oct. 27-30 and has an er­ror mar­gin of plus or mi­nus 3.0 points. Vot­ers cast bal­lots in Mi­ami even as en­thu­si­asm is said to be in short sup­ply for Hil­lary Clin­ton and Don­ald Trump.


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