Baltimore Sun

State hits highest case count in 10-19 age group

121 confirmed Thursday in that range; 693 total added

- By Nathan Ruiz

As another school year gets underway in Maryland, youth ages 10 to 19 are making up a larger percentage of the state’s new coronaviru­s cases.

Of the 693 new infections the state confirmed Thursday, 121 were found in those at least 10 years old but younger than 20. Only once has the daily count in that age range exceeded that number, when there were 135 on July 31.

Youth aged 10 to 19 accounted for 17.5% of Thursday’s new cases, the highest percentage of new infections in that age group since the start of the pandemic. That age range has accounted for at least 11% of new daily cases for eight straight days.

For four straight days, those under 20 years old have represente­d at least a fifth of the day’s reported new cases.

The rise in youth cases comes as some college students return to campuses that typically are requiring them to show a negative test for the COVID-19 infection caused by the coronaviru­s.

All public school districts in the state are starting the school year with all instructio­n online, but 16 have indicated that they will attempt to bring some groups of students back beginning as early as mid-September. Gov. Larry Hogan, a Republican, has strongly urged local school officials across the state to develop plans for some in-person classes.

The rise in cases among the 10 to 19 age group isn’t yet a cause for concern, “but it bears watching over the coming days,” said Dr. Eric Toner, senior scientist at the Center for Health Security at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health.

“If it continues to go up that would increase the risk associated with in

person classes,” said Toner, who specialize­s in internal and emergency medicine.

The state does not publicize the ages of those tested, meaning it’s not clear whether the increase in cases is the result of an increase in testing rather than the increased spread of the virus.

Contact tracing — the process of identifyin­g those who have interacted with people who test positive — and testing required by some children’s summer camps also might have played a role, Toner said.

“That should be discernibl­e from analysis of the testing data that the state health department has access to,” he said.

The age group with the most new cases Thursday was 20 to 29, with nearly one-fourth of the state’s confirmed infections. Overall, Marylander­s in their 20s account for 18.2% of the state’s caseload, while those under 20 represent 11%.

While cases are growing most quickly among younger Marylander­s, the coronaviru­s continues to be deadliest for the oldest. All 11 residents whose deaths the state reported Thursday were at least 70 years old.

Of the 3,634 Marylander­s killed by the virus and its effects, 70% have been 70 or older. Only one Marylander under 20 is believed to have died from the effects of COVID-19.

The state reported 382 patients hospitaliz­ed Thursday because of the virus’ effects, an increase from Wednesday’s 370. Of those patients, 112 are in intensive care, one fewer than Wednesday.

Maryland’s seven-day average testing positivity rate, the percent of positive results among all virus tests performed during the past week, was 3.41%, the 26th straight day it was under 4%.

Maryland will enter the third stage of its reopening process at 5 p.m. Friday, with jurisdicti­ons permitted to open all businesses, including entertainm­ent venues like movie theaters.

The state’s reported rate has been under 5% for 70 consecutiv­e days, five times longer than the World Health Organizati­on’s recommenda­tion for easing virusrelat­ed restrictio­ns. Maryland began its initial reopening process before reaching that two-week benchmark.

Johns Hopkins’ coronaviru­s resource center, which calculates positivity rate with a different formula than the state’s, has Maryland with the 20th-lowest seven-day average among all states. Hopkins calculates the rate by dividing the number of cases by the number of people tested, removing repeat tests from the calculatio­n.

Using Hopkins’ method, Maryland’s positivity rate entering Thursday was 4.65%. It’s the state’s 20th straight day beneath 5% using that calculatio­n, the longest such stretch using Hopkins’ formula.

Hopkins also ranks Maryland as having performed the 20th most tests per capita while reporting the 21st most cases and 12th most deaths per capita.

With nearly 25,000 test results reported Thursday, the state is on the cusp of having reported 2 million results during the pandemic. Nearly a third of those tests have been performed on residents who already had undergone at least one test previously.

Of the1.36 million Marylander­s tested for the virus, 8.1% received a positive result at least once.

The seven-day positivity rate in Baltimore fell to 2.75%, the city’s first time beneath 3%. All five of the state’s jurisdicti­ons with the highest number of total cases have positivity rates below 5%, with Baltimore’s being the lowest.

Worcester and Caroline counties on the Eastern Shore are the only two of Maryland’s 24 jurisdicti­ons with seven-day rates exceeding 5%.

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