Pace of inflation slows in August
WASHINGTON — U.S. consumer prices rose a lower-than-expected 0.3% last month, the smallest increase in seven months and a hopeful sign that a recent jump in inflation may be cooling.
The August gain was weaker than the 0.5% increase in July and a 0.9% surge in June, the Labor Department reported Tuesday. It was the smallest increase since prices rose 0.3% in January.
While the upward march of prices appears to have eased last month, economists caution that the same underlying causes remain. Supply chains are still snarled, especially for critical components like computer chips.
Consumer demand is easily outpacing supply, which will push prices higher.
Over the past 12 months, prices are up 5.3%, down slightly from two consecutive months averaging 5.4%, the strongest 12month price gains since 2008.
Core prices, which exclude volatile food and energy costs, rose a tiny 0.1% in August and are up 4% over the past year, an improvement from 12month gains of 4.3% in July and 4.5% in June.
There is some evidence in Tuesday’s report suggesting that the surge in COVID-19 cases caused by the delta variant may have contributed to slowing price gains, particularly in areas such as travel. Airline fares fell 9.1% in August while hotel room rates were down 2.9% and rental car prices dropped 8.5%.
Last week, the nation’s largest airlines warned that the spread of the delta variant would delay a return to normal operations.
Air travel during the pandemic fell to levels not seen in the jet era.
Used car prices, which had been surging because of low supplies, fell 1.5% in August but new car prices increased 1.2%, reflecting the supply-chain problems still confronting automakers trying to get semiconductor deliveries.
The 0.3% overall increase was below the consensus view that prices would rise 0.4% in August.