Call & Times

Rest of NL East still chasing Harper, Strasburg, Nats Mets hope talented young pitching staff remains healthy to compete

- By DAVE SHEININ The Washingt Post

2016: 95-67, lost in first round to Dodgers Significan­t additions: CF Adam Eaton, C Matt Wieters, RP Joe Blanton, 1B Adam Lind

Significan­t losses: RP Mark Melancon, C Wilson Ramos, SS Danny Espinosa, SP Lucas Giolito

The season is a success if: Harper bounces back from an off year (by his standards) in 2016, starting pitcher Stephen Strasburg makes 30 or more starts for the first time since 2014, Eaton provides the same stellar defense and high onbase percentage that he did for the 2016 White Sox, starting pitcher Max Scherzer's stress-fractured knuckle does not present a long-term problem, shortstop Trea Turner comes close to matching his half-season production as a 2016 rookie, the curious lack of an establishe­d closer doesn't torpedo the season in April and May, second baseman Daniel Murphy's inaction in the WBC doesn't lead to a slow start, and veteran left fielder Jayson Werth and first baseman Ryan Zimmerman manage to be productive hitters to deepen the lineup. 2016: 87-75, lost wild-card game to Giants Significan­t additions: None Significan­t losses: SP Bartolo Colon The season is a success if: their starting pitching stays healthy. While this can generally be said of any team, the Mets rely on rotation health more than most, if only because at its best, their projected rotation of Noah Syndergaar­d, Jacob DeGrom, Steven Matz, Matt Harvey and Zack Wheeler is arguably the best in the game - and perhaps enough to push them past the Nationals in the East. But DeGrom, Matz and Harvey are all coming off various surgeries (with Harvey's the most serious), and Wheeler is being brought along slowly after missing most of the past two seasons following his own surgery. 2016: 68-93 Significan­t additions: SP Bartolo Colon, SP R.A. Dickey, SP Jaime Garcia, 2B Brandon Phillips, IF Sean Rodriguez

Significan­t losses: SP/RP John Gant, SP/RP Tyrell Jenkins, RP Eric O'Flaherty, OF Mallex Smith, RP Chris Withrow, C A.J. Pierzynski

The season is a success if: they manage to field a solid team in their first season in a new suburban stadium while still seeing progress from their young core. The Braves went 40-36 from July 6 through the end of the 2016 season, carried largely by youngsters such as Freeman, shorstop Dansby Swanson, centerfiel­der Ender Inciarte and starting pitchers Julio Teheran and Mike Foltynewic­z, which led the front office to add some veteran pieces this winter in hopes of making an out-of-nowhere charge in 2017. But in the big picture, this season is about giving the toprated farm system in baseball (via Baseball America) another year of maturation and assembling the pieces around Swanson - a consensus top-five prospect who looks like a franchise player - for a title run in 2018 and beyond. 2016: 79-82 Significan­t additions: SP Edinson Volquez, RP Brad Ziegler, SP Dan Straily, C A.J. Ellis, SP Jeff Locke

Significan­t losses: SP Andrew Cashner, RP Mike Dunn, RP Fernando Rodney

The season is a success if: they don't collapse under the weight of losing ace Jose Fernandez. The charismati­c Cuban right-hander died last September in a boating accident off Miami Beach, a loss the Marlins barely had time to process before the season ended. The tragedy has both a profound emotional component, and a practical one: The Marlins have to replace the irreplacea­ble, an ace who won 16 games with a 2.86 ERA last year. The additions of Volquez, Straily and Locke, the last of whom will start the year on the disabled list, should help with depth. But even taken together, they don't equal Fernandez. 2016: 71-91

Significan­t additions: OF Howie Kendrick, OF Michael Saunders, SP Clay Buchholz, RP Joaquin Benoit, RP Pat Neshek

Significan­t losses: 1B Ryan Howard, OF Peter Bourjos, RP David Henderson, LF Cody Asche

The season is a success if: their lengthy rebuild turns a corner. The buyout of Howard's contract symbolized a clean break from the successes (and excesses) of the last great Phillies era, and there is the outline of a solid core here, with five members of the starting lineup and three members of the starting rotation ages 27 or younger. There's plenty more on the way, too, starting with top shortstop prospect J.P. Crawford, who could be in Philly by midseason.

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 ?? Photo by Tom L. Sandys / The Washington Post ?? Nationals righty Stephen Strasburg will start Opening Day for a squad looking to win the NL East title for the fourth time in the last six seasons. The Nats have not won a playoff series.
Photo by Tom L. Sandys / The Washington Post Nationals righty Stephen Strasburg will start Opening Day for a squad looking to win the NL East title for the fourth time in the last six seasons. The Nats have not won a playoff series.

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