It’s time for a cease-fire in the latest war of words in Washington
It was a rough week in Washington. The president created a firestorm, lobbing rhetorical bombs at “the squad,” the four House Democratic freshmen whose heated comments and extreme policy proposals have created one firestorm of controversy after another.
Now, the president’s getting return fire from Democrats and the media and some Republicans for his tweets, while the House floor Tuesday devolved into a war of words. I suspect most people would be grateful for a cease-fire from the increasingly personal attacks and almost hand-to-hand combat over everything from impeachment to immigration to congressional investigations.
I’m not saying people don’t care about all of those things. They do, but that’s not what’s going on in Washington and on the campaign trail these days. And people know it.
They understand that this is the worst of times for political discourse in one of the best of times for the U.S. economy, even if there’s room for more progress.
They also understand that questioning the motives of your political opponents doesn’t put food on their tables or shoes on their kids’ feet and neither do extreme statements that only divide the country or radical proposals that would dramatically change our economic foundation.
They understand that the kind of skirmishing we’ve seen escalate in recent weeks is all about politics and positioning, and they don’t like it.
What both sides seem to have forgotten in the fog of war is that the question most people will ask themselves in November 2020 won’t simply be, “Are we better off than we were four years ago?” For most voters, their decision is more complicated than that and goes beyond whether the country is moving in the right direction or whether the economy is getting better.
Most voters will make their decision in a much more personal context by asking, “Is the economy beginning to work
for me and my family — finally?” How each voter frames that question depends on the state of their own “individual economy,” based on a range of issues, from jobs and wages to the cost of health care and their ability to positively affect their personal economic outcome.
In 2009, as the economy spiraled, people felt they had no control over their lives and what was happening to them and the country. The fear they felt then is just as real today, which is why so many people are so exhausted by the war between the bases that is driving political discourse and discord across America.
The political center, likely to pick the next president, is just plain tired of everyone and everything Washington. What they want is control over their family budgets, their health care and their futures, especially retirement.
How voters assess progress over the past four years and who deserves the credit or blame will determine, plain and simple, the outcome of the 2020 election — both the presidency and Congress.
In early June, our Winning the Issues survey found that 36% of people believed that the economy was getting better and the rate of progress was acceptable. Another 24% agreed that the economy was getting better but felt the rate of progress wasn’t acceptable, while 30% didn’t believe the economy was getting better at all.
But news of record-breaking unemployment, wage growth and stock market highs are being swamped by news coverage focused on racial issues and immigration, Democratic Caucus infighting and congressional investigations, none of which translate into positives for either side, other than resonating with their bases.
Ironically, last week, Nancy Pelosi got tagged by “the squad,” who implied that criticisms of their statements and behavior may have been driven by some kind of personal animus toward them as women of color. This week, it’s been Trump back in the hot seat for his denunciation of the language and actions of the four freshmen.
What seems to be the end of civil political discourse might explain people’s slightly positive attitude on the direction of the economy — 46% said it’s on the right track, 37% on the wrong track, in our June 29-30 Winning the Issues survey — and their more negative view of the direction of the country, 39% to 52%. Usually, these numbers, which reflect voter happiness or unhappiness, are roughly the same. But that isn’t the case today with the direction-of-the-country numbers lagging behind the economic numbers.
What politicians and the media seem to have forgotten in the fog of war is that voters are more sophisticated than they get credit for, and at this moment, many are far from locked in for any candidate or party, especially those who think faster economic progress could be made.
In the end, they will make their decision based on who they believe has the better plan for the economy and the future. Whoever figures that out first and trades in bare-knuckle political brawling for a civil discussion of their vision for the country and their plans to make it happen will likely come out on top in 2020.