Chattanooga Times Free Press

In e-car market, it’s Tesla and a jumbled field

- BY NEAL E. BOUDETTE

Although it has become the world’s most valuable automaker, Tesla still has to figure out how to become consistent­ly profitable, reduce quality problems in its luxury cars and more quickly turn alluring prototypes into mass-produced vehicles.

One area where it hasn’t had much to fret about: competitio­n.

Over the past year or so, several automakers, including Audi, Jaguar and Porsche, have added heralded new models intended to cut into Tesla’s electric dominance. But they have barely made a dent, at least in the United States. Sales of the Jaguar I-Pace, an electric sport utility vehicle similar to the Tesla Model Y, have totaled just over 1,000 this year. Porsche has reported similar sales for its electric sedan, the Taycan.

Audi, which has grown steadily in the United States over the past decade, introduced an electric SUV, the E-tron, last year, and sales have sputtered. So far this year, Audi has sold fewer than 2,900. In many states, the car is advertised at prices 13% or more below its list price — unusual for an Audi.

“Obviously from the numbers we’re seeing, these cars aren’t setting the world on fire,” said Karl Brauer, an independen­t auto analyst. “It was a mistake to think that just because these cars were on the market that people were going to buy them.”

General Motors has fared somewhat better with its Chevrolet Bolt, which the company introduced in 2016. The company has sold more than 8,000 Bolts this year. Sales of the Nissan Leaf have topped 3,000.

Tesla, which does not break out sales by country, is clearly operating at a different level. State data analyzed by CrossSell shows that 56,000 new Teslas have been registered this year in 23 states, including California, Florida, New York and Texas. Analysts said Tesla’s 50-state sales total probably exceeded 70,000 cars. Globally, the company delivered about 180,000 cars in the first six months of the year.

Of course, electric vehicles, including Tesla’s, represent a tiny proportion of auto sales, which totaled more than 17 million in the United States last year. Electrics are a bigger part of the new-car market in Europe, and Tesla faces more competitio­n there than in the United States, but not a lot more.

China has many homegrown electric carmakers, but they tend to make cheaper vehicles that do not directly compete with Tesla’s offerings. Regardless of the market, though, EVs are the fastestgro­wing segment of the auto industry.

Tesla’s dominance can be explained in part by its head start. It has been selling electric cars in significan­t numbers since 2012. The company and its chief executive, Elon Musk, have also built a fervent fan base that few other automakers, save perhaps high-end sports car brands like Porsche or Ferrari, can claim. Tesla has long offered innovation­s other companies are only now trying to match, such as wireless software updates that can add features or fix glitches without trips to dealership­s.

One of the biggest shortcomin­gs of competing models is range — the distance an electric car can go before needing to be recharged. The maximum for the E-tron and Taycan is about 200 miles. The I-Pace and Bolt go about 235 to 260 miles. The least expensive Tesla Model 3 has a range of 250 miles, and most of the company’s cars go 300 miles or more on a single charge.

Sam Abuelsamid, an analyst at Guidehouse Insights, said the Audi, Jaguar and Porsche vehicles were superior to Teslas in some ways, such as look, feel and finish, but that their limited range had put off many buyers.

“The difference is too great for a lot of consumers to ignore,” he said.

Mercedes-Benz and BMW have been slower to introduce electric vehicles in the United States, where both companies plan to start selling new electric SUVs next year. Mercedes late last year delayed the introducti­on of its model, the EQC. And BMW, which introduced its i3 in 2014, has not built on that early start.

That has left the field open for Tesla, and investors have taken note. The company’s stock has soared this year, climbing from $510 in early January to about $1,600. The opening of a second assembly plant in China and the introducti­on of the Model Y have lifted optimism that Tesla will lead a global transition from gasoline-powered cars and trucks to zeroemissi­on electric vehicles.

Moreover, a stronger competitiv­e push may come soon. By the end of this year, Ford Motor expects to start selling an electric SUV, the Mustang Mach-E, that is styled to look like the company’s famous sports car. It is promising a version of the car with a range of 300 miles or more. GM has said it will offer a new Bolt with longer range by the end of this year, followed by more than 20 other electric models over the next three years.

Volkswagen next year will begin selling an electric SUV, the ID.4, which will also have a range of 300 miles. The company on Monday started taking orders in Europe for the ID.3, a hatchback that will sell for about 10,000 euros less than the Model 3; the car is not expected to be sold in the United States.

Volkswagen also plans to begin making an electricpo­wered SUV at its Chattanoog­a plant by 2022.

And various startups are raising billions of dollars to challenge Tesla. Among the most promising is Rivian, which is backed by Amazon, Ford and other investors. The company, which is based in Michigan, plans to bring out next year a pickup truck and an SUV that can go up to 400 miles.

Coming even sooner is a new company, Polestar, owned by Volvo and Volvo’s Chinese parent, Zhejiang Geely Holding. The Polestar 2 is a hatchback that is supposed to go 275 miles before needing a recharge and has the kind of agility — zero to 62 mph in less than five seconds — that appeals to aficionado­s. It will start at $59,900 in the United States, and buyers will be able to claim a $7,500 federal tax credit and state incentives. The company will also sell the Polestar 1, a sports coupe that starts at $155,000.

Polestar recently opened sales centers in Santa Monica, California, and New York City. Sales are expected to begin in the next few weeks. Other showrooms should pop up next year in Boston, Miami, Denver and elsewhere.

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