GOP WAR OFFERS DEMOCRATS A BIG OPENING
The rage-addled statement that Donald Trump has fired at Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell plunged the GOP into worsening infighting. But as Republicans reacted to the former president’s missive, it also revealed a glaring tension in the story they are telling about his legacy.
It’s a tension that Democrats can exploit to their advantage.
The tension is this: On one hand, Republicans widely acknowledge that Trump cost them the House, Senate and White House.
On the other, they continue to hail the Trump presidency as a great triumph — not just on policy, but a political success as well.
Both can be true: Even as Trump drove a large diaspora of moderate, suburban, educated whites to Democrats, Trump also brought millions of low-propensity conservative voters into the GOP coalition.
But the tension between these two ideas — that Trump cost the GOP control of Washington, even as his activation of a new GOP constituency was a political success — is deepening.
Sen. Lindsey Graham’s latest appearance on Fox News neatly captured this tension.
“He is the most dominant figure in the Republican Party,” Graham said, hailing Trump as a transformative figure: “We don’t have a snowball’s chance in hell of taking back the majority without Donald Trump.”
Graham suggested Republican self-interest requires looking past the insurrection and acknowledging Trump’s importance to their party’s future chances.
The GOP needs Trump?
In this, you see Republicans deciding that the GOP’s future requires holding that latter body of voters activated by Trump. Just as Trumpified GOP turnout helped lift downballot Republicans to some 2020 wins — even as he hemorrhaged suburbanites, costing him the White House — Republicans hope his voters will lift GOP candidates in 2022.
Many Republicans have spoken explicitly to the need to keep Trump and his voters happy for this reason. Hence the need to retain fealty to Trump.
The rub lies in what declaring fealty to Trump really requires. It is devolving into little more than a requirement that Republicans hew to QAnon-ified fantasies about the election’s illegitimacy, and that they aggressively hate on the constellation of phantom enemies.
What’s missing is any sense that fealty to Trump requires any sort of policy agenda along the lines of the economic populism that was supposed to animate the true spirit of Trumpism. That gives Democrats an opening to fill the populist space themselves.
› Trumpism’s descent into madness We see this on multiple fronts. The New York Times has an extraordinary report on Michigan Republicans pledging undying loyalty to Trump. GOP Rep. Peter Meijer, who voted for impeachment, is getting hammered as a “traitor” who “betrayed” the GOP base, even as a top GOP leader was caught dismissing the insurrection as a “hoax.”
Or take Tucker Carlson. He is now claiming the Texas power shortage resulted from the power grid being “totally reliant on windmills” which then froze, supposedly proving the Green New Deal will be a fiasco.
In fact, most of the problem came from natural gas and coal.
The Green New Deal and “AOC” are in the constellation of enemies that define Trumpism, so the default position on the Texas blackout must be to make stuff up to attack them.
Meanwhile, as Noam Scheiber reports, the Biden administration is developing a conception of industrial policy that would use government to incentivize the shift to a green energy economy, but as a job creator. That could give blue-collar workers a stake in this transformation, inhabiting the populist space with progressive answers.
All this is hastening Trumpism’s devolution into QAnon and cult-ofTrump crackpottery.
Samuel Hammond, a policy analyst at the Niskanen Center, points out that the promise of Trumpism was supposed to be partly that it offered “bold policies” to problems such as “the decline in working-class jobs.”
Instead, Hammond notes, Trumpism has devolved into “conspiracy theories all the way down and hatred of the leftist enemy.”
“What that means,” Hammond concluded, “is that Democrats have space to occupy that vacuum and in some ways be more authentically populist than Trump or Trumpism ever could be.”