Chicago Sun-Times

Jobless rate falls to nine- year low point

Unemployme­nt now at 4.6%; solid 178,000 jobs added in November

- Paul Davidson @ Pdavidsonu­sat USA TODAY

The labor market perked up modestly in November as employers added 178,000 jobs and the unemployme­nt rate fell to a nine- year low, providing more evidence of a solid economy in the final payroll report before an expected Federal Reserve interest rate hike.

The unemployme­nt rate, which is calculated from a different survey than the payroll total, fell from 4.9% to 4.6%, lowest since August 2007, the Labor Department said Friday. That’s because 226,000 Americans left the labor force, which includes those working and looking for jobs. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg expected 180,000 job gains.

Businesses added 156,000 jobs, led by profession­al and business services. Federal, state and local government­s added 22,000.

Payroll gains for September and October were revised down by a total 2,000.

September’s was revised to 208,000 from 191,000, and October’s to 142,000 from 161,000.

Average hourly wages pulled back after two solid advances, falling 3 cents to $ 25.89. Earnings are up 2.5% the past year, down from a seven- year high of 2.8% the previous month. The Fed is seeking faster wage gains as a sign of accelerati­ng inflation before boosting its benchmark interest rate for the first time this year. Yet monthly wage figures are volatile, and the Fed is likely “to downplay the significan­ce of one weak reading,” economist Jim O’Sullivan of High Frequency Economics says.

Barclays economist Michael Gapen thinks the Fed will place more emphasis on the sharply declining unemployme­nt rate and smaller labor force, which “are likely to place further upward pressure on inflation” as employers lift paychecks to attract workers.

“There’s absolutely nothing ( in the report) that says to the Fed they shouldn’t” raise rates, economist Joel Naroff of Naroff Economic Advisors says.

Meanwhile, a broader measure of unemployme­nt that includes discourage­d workers on the sidelines and part- time employees who prefer full- time jobs, as well as the unemployed, dropped from 9.5% to 9.3%, lowest since April 2008.

Hurricane Matthew, which hit the Southeast in early October, seemed to suppress employment that month as some workers in the region stayed home, and many economists expected a positive snapback effect in November. More broadly, however, average monthly job growth has moderated this year to about 180,000 from a pace of 229,000 in 2015. While employer demand remains solid, the low unemployme­nt rate has spelled a reduced supply of workers, slowing hiring.

The November employment gains “are about as good as you can get given the lack of available workers,” Naroff says.

Yet noting the economy has created jobs for a record 74 consecutiv­e months, Deputy Labor Secretary Chris Liu said, “It highlights the stark contrast of the economy we inherited and the one we’re passing off to our successor.” The U. S. was in the throes of the Great Recession and losing hundreds of thousands of jobs each month when President Obama took office in January 2009.

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