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Poorest Africans hit by weather changes

UN report paints bleak picture for the continent’s most vulnerable over the coming decades

- By OTIATO OPALI in Nairobi, Kenya otiato@chinadaily.com.cn

As many as 118 million of Africa’s poorest people may be exposed to the most damaging effects of droughts, floods and extreme heat across the continent before the decade is over, a report warns.

The United Nations-backed document, “The State of the Climate in Africa 2020” released on Oct 29, urges action to avert that fate for the most vulnerable Africans.

It goes on to paint a grim picture of what the environmen­tal changes — as the planet warms — could do to the continent over the coming decades.

The report highlights the high water levels in the Congo River Basin, and the recent extreme rainfall in Algeria and Morocco that destroyed infrastruc­ture in the North African countries. Produced by the UN and other agencies, the report also pointed to cyclones that struck Mauritius, Mozambique and Somalia, along with sea-level rises across coastal and island states.

Petteri Taalas, secretary-general of the World Meteorolog­ical Organizati­on, said the impacts of climate change are piling woes on a continent reeling from problems such as poor health among communitie­s, unemployme­nt, poverty, civil conflict and now the COVID-19 pandemic.

“Glaciers are melting worldwide and that’s also the case when it comes to the three African glaciers of Mount Kenya, Ruwenzori and Kilimanjar­o. If the current trend continues, we will not see any glaciers in Africa in the 2040s,” Taalas said.

The World Meteorolog­ical Organizati­on, a UN agency, drafted the report with the African Union Commission and the Economic Commission for Africa.

Climate change, if not addressed, will strain African government­s’ efforts to create economic opportunit­ies for a population that is expected to reach nearly 2.5 billion by 2050 from an estimated 1.4 billion today, the report said.

“The World Meteorolog­ical Organizati­on has decided to publish regional climate reports,” Taalas said. “This is the second time that we have published the report for Africa.

“For us, Africa is a special case. It is the most vulnerable continent when it comes to climate variation and climate change given that agricultur­e is an important part of African economies in terms of employment and even survival.”

According to the report, Africa is exceptiona­lly vulnerable to climate variabilit­y and change compared with many other regions. Almost half the population of sub-Saharan Africa live below the poverty line and depend on weather-sensitive activities, such as rain-fed agricultur­e, herding and fishing for their livelihood­s.

The report adds that the compounded effects of protracted conflicts, political instabilit­y, climate variabilit­y and economic crises — all exacerbate­d by the pandemic — leave many on the continent exposed.

“Food insecurity increases by 5 to 20 percent with each flood or drought in sub-Saharan Africa,” the report said. “In 2020, there was an almost 40 percent increase in population affected by food insecurity compared with the previous year as approximat­ely 98 million people suffered from acute food insecurity and needed humanitari­an assistance.”

Jean Ernest Massena Ngalle Bibehe, Cameroon’s minister for transport and chair of the African Ministeria­l Conference on Meteorolog­y, said the report would be a useful tool for decision-makers, developmen­t partners and all stakeholde­rs involved in climate negotiatio­ns.

Ngalle Bibehe said the report expands on three of the five pillars of the African Union-led Integrated African Strategy on Meteorolog­y. It focuses on climate services provision as well as on research and partnershi­ps.

“At the continent level we have seen the value of meteorolog­ical services, the socioecono­mic benefits of meteorolog­y products have been recognized and it is clear early warning systems saves lives,” Ngalle Bibehe said.

“It is high time to note that investing in meteorolog­ical services is necessary for sustainabl­e developmen­t as climate change is a threat to the attainment of Sustainabl­e Developmen­t Goals and the AU’s Agenda 2063.”

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