China Daily Global Weekly

Fight poverty before climate

Funding feel-good policies over life-changing developmen­t is unfair, unhelpful

- By BJORN LOMBORG The author is president of the Copenhagen Consensus. His new book is which The Economist named one of the best books of 2023. The views do not necessaril­y reflect those of China Daily.

Too many rich-world politician­s and climate campaigner­s forget that much of the world remains mired in poverty and hunger. Yet rich countries are increasing­ly replacing their developmen­t aid with climate spending. The World Bank, whose primary goal is to help people out of poverty, has now announced it will divert no less than 45 percent of its funding toward climate change, shifting some $40 billion annually away from poverty and hunger.

It is easy to treat climate as the world’s priority when your life is comfortabl­e. The 16 percent of the global population that lives in those countries does not typically go hungry or watch their loved ones die of easily treatable diseases like malaria or tuberculos­is. Most of the people in those countries are well-educated, and their average incomes are in the league of what was once reserved for royalty.

Much of the rest of the world, however, still struggles. Across poorer countries, 5 million children die every year before their fifth birthday, and almost 1 billion people do not get enough food to eat. More than 2 billion people have to cook and keep warm with polluting fuels such as dung and wood, shortening their lifespan. Although most young children now attend school, low education quality means most children in low- and lower-middle-income countries will remain functional­ly illiterate.

Poor countries desperatel­y need more access to inexpensiv­e and plentiful energy that previously allowed rich countries to develop. The lack of access to energy hampers industrial­ization, growth, and opportunit­y.

Raiding developmen­t funding to spend it on climate action is an abysmal decision. Climate change is real, but the data do not support using scarce developmen­t resources to tackle it before addressing poverty-related ills.

Climate activists argue that poverty and climate change are inextricab­ly linked and we should take simultaneo­us measures to alleviate poverty and combat climate change. However, studies have repeatedly shown that spending on core developmen­t priorities helps much more and much faster per dollar spent than spending on climate action.

That is because real developmen­t investment­s can dramatical­ly change people’s lives for the better right now and make poorer countries better off in many ways, including making them more resilient against natural disasters and any additional climaterel­ated disasters.

Even drasticall­y reducing carbon emissions would not deliver noticeably different outcomes for a generation or more. While spending on adaptation to build resilience in poor countries is a slightly more effective use than cutting emissions, both are far inferior to investing in developmen­t policies. Climate change is not the end of the world. Indeed, United Nations Intergover­nmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) scenarios show the world will dramatical­ly improve over the century and that climate change will merely slightly slow that progress. Likewise, the IPCC expects global average income to increase three-and-a-half-fold by 2100, without climate change. Even if we do little against climate change, the work of William Nordhaus, the only climate economist to win the Nobel Prize for Economics, shows that it would slow the progress only slightly, because by 2100 incomes would still rise by 3.34 times.

We should tackle climate change smartly, with rich countries making sorely needed, long-term investment­s in green energy R&D to devise low-cost solutions that deliver reliable energy at prices everyone can afford. Much of the poorer world primarily wants to pull people out of poverty and improve their quality of life by providing them with cheap and reliable energy. Yet rich countries now refuse to fund anything even remotely related to fossil fuels.

This smacks of hypocrisy, because rich countries themselves get almost four-fifths of their energy from fossil fuels, largely because of the unreliabil­ity and storage problems of solar and wind energy. Yet they arrogantly castigate poor countries for aspiring to increase energy generation capacity and suggest that the poor countries somehow “skip ahead” to intermitte­nt solar and wind.

For people in most poor countries, climate change ranks far down the priority list. A large survey of political and social leaders in low- and middle-income countries similarly revealed education, employment, peace and health are their top developmen­t priorities, with climate change being 12th in a list of 16.

The poorer half of the world certainly deserves more opportunit­ies to improve their lives. But as politician­s are asking for more money, ostensibly to help the world’s poorest, we should demand it goes into efficient developmen­t projects that actually save and transform lives, not to feel-good, inefficien­t climate programs.

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 ?? SONG CHEN / CHINA DAILY ??
SONG CHEN / CHINA DAILY

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