China Daily Global Edition (USA)

CHINESE INVESTMENT: A decade’s journey in the US

- By CHARLENE CAI in Washington charleneca­i@chinadaily­usa.com

Chinese investment in the US began to increase in scale around 2007 and 2008, and then continued to grow in the next 10 years or so. According to Rhodium Group, a New York-based research company that closely follows Chinese outbound investment, the cumulative value of that investment exceeded $109 billion by the end of 2016.

There are more than 3,200 Chinese-owned operations in the US, found in 98 percent of US territory. They cover almost every major industry and provide more than 140,000 jobs.

In this article, we retrace the journey of that investment and examine its current state.

Rise of Chinese investment in the US

Foreign direct investment (FDI) between China and the US long had been a one-way street — from the US to China — starting in the late 1970s, when China opened up and welcomed foreign investment.

In that process, China became the world’s factory, and about a decade ago, with its emergence as the world’s second-largest economy, China started investing in the US.

Data from the Ministry of Commerce show that since 2014, the amount of new Chinese investment into the US has surpassed that from the US to China. Rhodium’s data in the following chart show that FDI from China has grown steadily during the past decade, reaching a record $46 billion in 2016, which makes China one of the top sources of FDI in the US.

In the past five to six years, Chinese investment worth billions of dollars has made headlines in the US, including acquisitio­ns such as Shuanghui (WH Group) buying Smithfield Foods for $7.6 billion in 2013; Lenovo purchasing Motorola for $2.91 billion in 2014; and Haier securing General Electric’s home appliances businessfo­r $5.6 billion in 2016.

There also were several headline greenfield investment projects, such as Shandong Yuhuang investing $1.85 billion in a new methanol plant in Louisiana; Shandong Sun Paper pouring in $1.3 billion to launch a new factory in Arkansas; Fuyao Glass spending $600 million to convert an abandoned GM factory in Ohio; Geely’s Volvo contributi­ng $500 million for an auto production facility in South Carlonia; China Jushi allocating $300 million to produce fiberglass in its new plant in South Carolina; and Golden Dragon breaking ground for a copper tube manufactur­ing facility in Alabama with an investment of $100 million.

Forces that drive the investment

What has driven this growth? A few forces stand out.

More relaxed regulation­s and incentives from the Chinese government encouraged companies to go abroad. That, combined with the companies’ own needs to enter the global market, has propelled the capital flow.

In the process of China becoming the world’s second-largest economy and due to its interactio­n with the global market, many Chinese companies have matured into big corporatio­ns with the potential and aspiration­s to become world leaders.

To achieve that, they needed to increase their strength in areas such as advanced management skills, cutting-edge technologi­es and premium brand recognitio­n. Investing in developed countries such as the US offered that opportunit­y.

The changing dynamics in China’s economy and society also have pushed Chinese companies to look abroad. Labor costs are steadily rising; raw materials are no longer as abundant and affordable; many products have reached saturation levels in the domestic market; and a growing middle class is increasing­ly looking for premium foreign products and services.

Chinese companies are watching their competitiv­e advantage lessen domestical­ly and need to look elsewhere to regain it.

According to a 2015 China General Chamber of Commerce-USA survey, among more than 140 Chinese companies in the US, the top five reasons for them to invest in the US are: to gain US market share; acquire advanced management knowhow; get access to advanced technology; meet the demand of overseas developmen­t for existing clients; and enhance corporate image.

Other reasons include producing goods in the US to supply to China, reducing dependence on the Chinese market and cutting the cost of internatio­nal trade.

For instance: Shandong Yuhuang’s new plant will produce methanol for the Chinese market by making good use of North America’s abundant low-priced natural gas; Hisense Group’s acquisitio­n of Sharp America will provide access to the global TV market and retail channels charted by Sharp; Fuling Plastic’ setting up a manufactur­ing facility in Pennsylvan­ia is not only to reduce the cost of transporti­ng its plastic service ware to top US fast-food chains, but also to meet clients’ demands for providing closer services; and Fosun Group’s acquisitio­n of multiple entities in the US is to meet its goal of being a global investment firm catering to the Chinese middle class’ demands for healthcare and an affluent lifestyle.

Investment patterns and trends

FDI usually is achieved through greenfield projects and mergers and acquisitio­ns (M&A). According to Rhodium Group, M&A is the dominant entry mode for Chinese investors in the US, but greenfield investing has surged in recent years.

Some Chinese companies have used a combinatio­n of both approaches.

Major appliance maker Hisense Group — after more than 10 years of building brand recognitio­n in the US market and gaining entry into major wholesaler­s such as Wal-Mart, Best Buy, Costco and hhgregg — acquired Sharp America for $23.7 million in July 2015.

Wanxiang Group, China’s largest auto parts manufactur­er, started its US operation in 1994 as a small sales office in a Chicago suburb. It gradually became a major supplier to the Big Three automakers (Ford, General Motors and Chrysler) and later acquired more than 100 assets and operations in 26 states, with more than 16,000 employees.

Although Chinese companies invest in almost all major industries, a few fields stand out as most attractive to investors.

According to a report issued by the Asia Society and Rosen Consulting Group in April 2016, China ranked third in US commercial real estate-acquisitio­n volume in 2015, with Chinese developers building multibilli­ondollar projects in several major cities, including New York, Chicago and San Francisco.

Chinese capital also has poured into Silicon Valley in Northern California to take advantage of its talent pool, innovation, research capabiliti­es and opportunit­ies for startup collaborat­ion in the technology industry. Major internet and high-tech companies all have set foot in this booming area.

The automotive industry is another where Chinese investors aspire to become major players. The financial crisis of 2008 significan­tly reduced the value of many US auto parts makers, a good number of which were acquired by Chinese companies afterward. Detroit and its nearby areas now have more than 100 Chinese companies in the auto parts field.

A turning point in 2017

Chinese investment in the US, however, started to shrink in early 2017 and continued the trend throughout the year. Rhodium’s data show that overall Chinese FDI in the US dropped by 35 percent in 2017 to $29 billion.

Considerin­g that more than half of the 2017 transactio­n value actually came from the completion of pending deals in 2016, the drop was even sharper.

The decline is partially due to the Chinese government’s adjustment in regulating FDI, especially investment­s made by state-owned enterprise­s and in the fields of real estate and hospitalit­y, and sports and entertainm­ent.

At the end of 2016, concerned about the drain of foreign reserves due to a decade or so of Chinese companies going abroad, and due to the realizatio­n that the developmen­t of Chinese enterprise­s overseas was not necessaril­y healthy, the government began to shift its overall accommodat­ive approach to a more selective one, scrutinizi­ng new big investment projects and discouragi­ng “irrational” and “disguised” investment.

The uncertaint­y of the US political environmen­t under US President Donald Trump’s administra­tion, which has shown a tendency to take a more protection­ist approach to trade, and the increased scrutiny of Chinese investment by US government­al agencies, especially the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS), also have played a role in slowing the flow of Chinese capital to the US.

According to Rhodium, an unpreceden­ted number of Chinese deals were delayed or abandoned in 2017 as parties failed to obtain approval from CFIUS, which screens foreign acquisitio­ns for potential national security risks.

Those scuttled deals included Canyon Bridge Capital’s acquisitio­n of Lattice Semiconduc­tor, Ant Financial’s proposed acquisitio­n of Moneygram Financial, and the most recent: Huawei’s agreement with AT&T to provide smartphone­s to its US customers.

A group of US senators and congressme­n initiated a bill in 2017, the Foreign Investment Risk Review Modernizat­ion Act, or FIRRMA, which defines China as one of the “countries of special concern”.

The bill will expand the scope of CFIUS screening, and it appears to already have affected CFIUS’ approach, especially to Chinese M&A activity in informatio­n technology.

In its annual report to the US Congress published in September 2017, CFIUS said that Chinese deals made up 29 percent of the 143 transactio­ns it reviewed in 2015, the highest among all nations.

Even though global Chinese FDI started to rebound in the second half of 2017 after Beijing completed its policy adjustment, increased US regulatory oversight and uncertaint­y continued to discourage Chinese FDI in the US throughout 2017.

According to a survey conducted by the China General Chamber of Commerce - USA (CGCC) in 2017, among more than 200 Chinese companies polled in the US, one-fourth of the respondent­s consider the CFIUS review process to be politicize­d and opaque.

Fifty-three percent believe that the US government will increase its regulatory oversight, and 63 percent believe that M&A transactio­ns involving Chinese companies will be subject to more frequent and stringent reviews.

Continue to gain confidence and expand in the US

Even though, compared with the 2016 amount, Chinese FDI slipped significan­tly, the total of $29 billion is still the second-largest year on record during the country’s 10-year or so investment path in the US, according to Rhodium Group.

And though 2017 did not see big deals by Chinese companies, it was a year that Chinese companies that already have invested in the US consolidat­ed or expanded their market share and investment scale.

Electric bus builder BYD, which has manufactur­ed many environmen­tally friendly buses for a number of large US cities, added a wing to its plant in Lancaster, California.

Auto parts maker BWI opened its first US plant in Indiana after acquiring part of Delphi Automotive eight years ago and expects to create 450 jobs.

Worldlawn, a lawnmower-maker in Nebraska, expanded its facility, anticipati­ng a rising market share.

Sanhua, a supplier of parts to the heating, ventilatio­n and air conditioni­ng (HVAC) and refrigerat­ion industries, hired more workers for its plant in Mississipp­i.

CW Bearing, another auto parts maker, moved to an expanded headquarte­rs in Michigan and acquired a company to consolidat­e production.

Those companies’ activities in 2017 are in line with the results of the CGCC survey.

A majority of the more than 200 companies surveyed expressed optimism and confidence about their US investment­s. Sixty-one percent said they have expanded their business activities in the US, and 71 percent said they will increase their workforces. Fifty-three percent said they maintained their market share in the US, and about 40 percent said they have increased their share.

In the years ahead, the overall China-US relationsh­ip will no doubt continue to experience ups and downs. The bilateral investment dynamic, however, very likely will still play its role as the “ballast” and “buffer” to the larger relationsh­ip, as the Chinese government often put it, due to investment’s interweavi­ng the two countries’ economy and enhancing the two countries’ interdepen­dence, which affect the lives of citizens in both countries.

 ??  ?? How would you expect the degree of general government oversight to change under President Trump’s administra­tion?
How would you expect the degree of general government oversight to change under President Trump’s administra­tion?
 ??  ?? How will your company change its number of employees in the next two years
How will your company change its number of employees in the next two years
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 ??  ?? Smithfield Foods, the world’s largest pork processor, was bought by Shuanghui Group, which later changed its name to WH Group, for $7.6 billion in 2013. It remains the largest acquisitio­n deal in the US by a Chinese company.
Smithfield Foods, the world’s largest pork processor, was bought by Shuanghui Group, which later changed its name to WH Group, for $7.6 billion in 2013. It remains the largest acquisitio­n deal in the US by a Chinese company.
 ??  ?? A worker packages plastic straws produced at Fuling Plastic USA’s new plant in Allentown, Pennsylvan­ia.
A worker packages plastic straws produced at Fuling Plastic USA’s new plant in Allentown, Pennsylvan­ia.
 ??  ?? A worker inspects products at Fuyao Glass America, the US subsidiary of China’s largest automotive glass maker, at its new plant in Moraine, Ohio.
A worker inspects products at Fuyao Glass America, the US subsidiary of China’s largest automotive glass maker, at its new plant in Moraine, Ohio.
 ??  ?? SAIC, China’s top auto maker, set up its US headquarte­rs in Birmingham, Michigan, a suburb of Detriot.
SAIC, China’s top auto maker, set up its US headquarte­rs in Birmingham, Michigan, a suburb of Detriot.
 ??  ?? Indiana Governor Eric Holcomb (fifth from right) and Shougang Group’s Deputy General Manager Han Qing (right of Holcomb) break ground on June 28, 2017, for the company’s first US plant, BWI, in Greenfield.
Indiana Governor Eric Holcomb (fifth from right) and Shougang Group’s Deputy General Manager Han Qing (right of Holcomb) break ground on June 28, 2017, for the company’s first US plant, BWI, in Greenfield.

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