China Daily Global Edition (USA)

All factors point to nation’s stable growth

- By Mehmood Ul Hassan Khan

The Western narrative of the so-called “China collapse theory” refreshed itself recently, although China achieved GDP of over 126 trillion yuan ($17.4 trillion) and a growth rate of 5.2 percent in 2023.

Some Western media outlets, such as The Wall Street Journal, have continued in recent months rolling out reports against the most robust growth engine of the global economy, under headlines such as “China’s economic pain worsens” to “What’s wrong with China’s economy”. The Economist magazine has since August been concerned with “Why China’s economy won’t be fixed”.

Despite Western disinforma­tion, talk among some in the United

States about decoupling, some European Union “de-risking” and the imposition of numerous obstacles, China has succeeded in upgrading its industrial and supply chains, which has ultimately fostered emerging industries and future-oriented sectors, and promoted innovation and the digital economy.

Last year, China’s sales of new energy vehicles reached 9.5 million, an increase of 37.9 percent year-onyear, and the turnover of technologi­cal contracts grew 28.6 percent, according to data from the National Developmen­t and Reform Commission. Furthermor­e, National Energy Administra­tion statistics showed that the nation’s total consumptio­n of electricit­y grew 6.7 percent yearon-year in 2023.

Lithium batteries, electric vehicles and photovolta­ic products enhanced the nation’s exports as well as the added value of strategic emerging industries, and were thus cited as the “new three” products during the two sessions, the annual gatherings held in Beijing this month of China’s top legislativ­e and political advisory bodies.

The Government Work Report delivered during the two sessions announced China’s economic targets for 2024, projecting that GDP will grow around 5 percent, the consumer price index will rise about 3 percent, over 12 million new urban jobs will be created, grain output will reach 650 million metric tons, energy consumptio­n will stand at 2.5 percent per unit of GDP, and the ratio of deficit to GDP will be 3 percent. These are all achievable, judging from the momentum so far this year.

By announcing the economic achievemen­ts and accomplish­ed targets of 2023 and the projected goals for 2024, Chinese policymake­rs have decoded the real essence of the nation’s macro economy, mainly comprising diversific­ation, digitaliza­tion, modernizat­ion, qualitativ­e industrial­ization and openness.

Critical statistica­l economic analysis indicates that 5 percent GDP growth for 2024 is achievable. Europe’s Airbus, French multinatio­nal software company Dassault Systemes and Germany’s Bayer highly appreciate­d China’s GDP targets in 2023 and 2024, vividly reflecting the world’s confidence in the Chinese economy despite meaningles­s statements and misinforma­tion by some Western media outlets.

Evidently a GDP growth target of around 5 percent will permit reasonable and moderate social progress through sustained momentum, qualitativ­e industrial­ization and consumer confidence.

The two sessions could also be cited as a true reflection of economic transparen­cy, greater social and economic integratio­n, and consolidat­ion of fiscal and monetary targets, and they highlighte­d the strategic importance of new quality productive forces and new drivers of China’s sustainabl­e economy, especially scientific and technologi­cal innovation­s.

China has made technologi­cal breakthrou­ghs in quantum computing technology, integrated circuits, artificial intelligen­ce, biomedicin­e and new energy sectors, and the country’s aforementi­oned “new three” products are expected to maintain robust growth in coming years, which would contribute to achieving the economic targets.

The new forces, coupled with expansion of domestic demand, promotion of big data and the launch of an AI-plus initiative, will give further scope, utility and performanc­e to Chinese growth. These new factors will also help to shift the nation’s economic structure from low-cost manufactur­ing to high-value services.

China’s economic structural transforma­tion, green and low-carbon elements, and social and market improvemen­ts all showed its real economic strength.

The policymake­rs of China are also giving more attention to investment in new urbanizati­on and rural vitalizati­on, education, food security and energy security.

Moreover, as Premier Li Qiang told the China Developmen­t Forum in Beijing on Sunday, China is committed to expanding opening-up, which will create more opportunit­ies for the rest of the world. Global investors should cheer again for the commitment.

Minister of Industry and Informatio­n Technology Jin Zhuanglong told the forum on Monday that the country will implement measures regarding the complete removal of restrictio­ns on foreign investment­s in China’s manufactur­ing sector.

It is also hoped that market access to the services sectors, such as finance, telecommun­ications and healthcare, will also be widened.

Thus, contrary to what Western media are suggesting, all factors point to strong Chinese economic growth that will remain stable, sustainabl­e and resilient.

Despite a recent claim in The Wall Street Journal that “China’s economic model is crumbling”, the effective and sustainabl­e Chinese system is commendabl­e in overall scientific decision-making, management of risks, market regulation, sound economic performanc­e, and democratic social and economic governance, as well as featuring win-win connectivi­ty with related economies elsewhere.

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