Connecticut Post

Biden mandate ignores COVID-19 science

- By Red Jahncke Red Jahncke is president of the Townsend Group Internatio­nal in Greenwich. A version of this article appeared originally on Real Clear Politics.

Biden administra­tion generals are fighting the last war. Last week, they mandated that large businesses and health-care facilities require that their workers get vaccinated for COVID-19. The next day, Pfizer announced an antiviral pill to treat the virus. Pfizer’s pill is 89 percent effective. A Merck antiviral pill for COVID-19 (with only about 50 percent effectiven­ess) is already in use in Britain.

COVID-19 treatment pills destroy any vestige of logic or justificat­ion for Biden’s vaccine mandates.

No matter how someone contracts the virus, these pills prevent serious illness — hospitaliz­ation and death. With double lines of defense against the coronaviru­s —vaccinatio­n and now these new antiviral treatment pills — mandates have become unnecessar­y.

Last Saturday, the Fifth U.S. Court of Appeals issued an emergency stay of the Biden business mandate, saying it raises “grave statutory and constituti­onal issues.”

Quite apart from the legal issues, the mandates ignore science and logic. The logic of vaccine mandates has always been weak and selfcontra­dictory insofar as their implied purpose is protecting vaccinated people from unvaccinat­ed people. If vaccines are effective (95 percent effective in Pfizer’s case), then vaccinated people face little risk from unvaccinat­ed people. If the vaccines are ineffectiv­e, then why should anyone get them?

Naturally, there are minor exceptions to this logic. First, a vaccine that is 95 percent effective is 5 percent ineffectiv­e. Second, there have been “breakthrou­gh cases” of largely unknown number and origin. They could represent the 5 percent ineffectiv­eness factor, and they could demonstrat­e that the vaccines are less effective against variants of the virus. Finally, studies suggest that the efficacy of vaccines diminish over time.

All three of these minor exceptions are addressed by booster shots — in the same fashion as annual vaccines protect against the seasonal flu. Flu shots are in effect boosters, after the effectiven­ess of the prior season’s flu shot has waned. Each year flu shots are recalibrat­ed for recurring and potential new variants, and each year they are less than 100 percent effective. There is always some risk.

There is a critical difference between flu shots and COVID-19 vaccines. The flu shots have no back-up. There is no flu pill.

The new antiviral treatment pills for COVID-19 dramatize further the original illogic of mandates: If vaccines and boosters and treatment pills are even more effective, as science and logic say they are, then unvaccinat­ed people pose virtually no threat to vaccinated people. Now add the new corollary: Unvaccinat­ed people do not even endanger themselves because they can take the Merck or Pfizer pill (once approved) if they do contract COVID-19. They don’t even burden the health-care system, since the pills are intended for home use.

Now most Americans got vaccinated as soon as they could. Most consider the vaccines a virtual godsend, an amazing demonstrat­ion of American scientific and pharmaceut­ical prowess. Most don’t really understand why someone would not get vaccinated.

But we live in a free country where people have the liberty to do what they want if they aren’t threatenin­g anyone else, don’t we? Without pretending to litigate the legal issues, it is reasonable to see vaccine mandates as an unnecessar­y violation of personal liberty. What could be more invasive than the government dictating what you must do with your own body — your life and your life only?

Parsing the issue further, there is a vast difference between government dictating a nationwide vaccine policy and a business — or any organizati­on — establishi­ng an organizati­onal vaccine requiremen­t. If an organizati­on adopts a vaccine requiremen­t, an anti-vaccine employee can quit and find another job.

Beyond these observatio­ns, let’s leave the Fifth Circuit to begin the process of sorting out the legal and constituti­onal issues.

That is not to say that vaccinated people will not contract the virus, nor to say that some vaccinated people will not get seriously ill and die. Until there is a lifelong vaccine, such as the polio vaccine, COVID-19 will be a part of our lives.

In the meantime, the real danger comes from a frustrated Biden administra­tion misusing urgent emergency powers. For Biden & Co., the already dissipatin­g 20-month-old pandemic is not receding fast enough. The administra­tion fighting yesterday’s COVID-19 battle without realizing that the antiviral pills have radically altered the war.

Like it or not, COVID-19 has taken hold and is here to stay, but not as the threat to which we were originally defenseles­s. Biden’s COVID-19 vaccine mandates would set a dangerous precedent. They should never take hold. Who’s to say what the next “emergency” would be that government might use as a pretext to exercise such overriding power?

 ?? Drew Angerer / TNS ?? President Joe Biden speaks in the South Court Auditorium on the White House campus Oct. 14 in Washington, D.C.
Drew Angerer / TNS President Joe Biden speaks in the South Court Auditorium on the White House campus Oct. 14 in Washington, D.C.

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