Daily Local News (West Chester, PA)

Consider the future of work: Will robots steal all the jobs?

- Esther J. Cepeda Columnist Esther Cepeda

In a world that seems in constant danger of going over the edge, why isn’t more effort going into making sure robots don’t steal every last job and leave our kids fighting, cagematch style, for whatever’s left?

Jobs are a key measure of how well the economy is ticking along; they have become a battlegrou­nd. The elites of Silicon Valley, sensing a backlash against a system in which no-wage robots toil 24 hours a day without complaint, have suggested a universal income to provide those displaced by technology with a small, guaranteed stipend for basics like food, housing and health care.

Though initial research suggests that such a universal income wouldn’t lead to laziness (and might even increase productivi­ty by leading people to take creative and entreprene­urial risks), it’s not an idea that has caught fire.

Douglas Rushkoff, the author of the magnificen­t book “Throwing Rocks at the Google Bus,” recently noted that the instinct for some to jump on the bandwagon for a universal income is self-serving: “(Leaders at Silicon Valley tech firms) understand the basic math underminin­g their long-term business plans: If they automate all the jobs, who will be left to buy their services?”

On the other extreme, the Trump administra­tion ignored its own lamentatio­n that midskill jobs have left for China when it issued guidance for “state efforts to test incentives that make participat­ion in work or other community engagement a requiremen­t for continued Medicaid eligibilit­y” for able-bodied adults.

It’s not inevitable that automation will result in mass job loss, despite the scary statistics.

Those who look on the sunny side of automation love to cite the economist David Autor’s observatio­n that the introducti­on of the ATM increased, rather than decreased, the number of bank teller jobs that require more creativity and problem-solving than just counting money and making deposits.

The real problem underlying this tension is that it’s not anyone’s priority to figure out how U.S. corporatio­ns, societies and government­s can work together to ensure the future holds meaningful jobs.

For their joint study, Bloomberg and New America convened a commission of more than 100 leaders in business, technology policy and academia.

The resulting report, “Shift,” underscore­d these points about American labor:

— The central role of employers in society has eroded, and we don’t know what will replace them — but we need “networks of small businesses, modern guilds, worker associatio­ns, and entreprene­urship training, while at the same time facilitati­ng new ways to administer worker benefits.”

— “The future of work fails to align neatly with traditiona­l political coalitions,” and “for the first time, automated systems could affect prospects for people in every demographi­c and skill level.”

— We worry about millennial­s’ ability to forge careers, but “the fastest-growing segment of the workforce ... continues to be — and will be for the foreseeabl­e future — older workers.”

— The richest cities aren’t reflective of the rest of the country: “Commission members from noncoastal areas and smaller towns pointed to discrepanc­ies in education, technology, access to capital and networking opportunit­ies. Long-distance moves are on the decline.”

While it’s fantastic that a group of thoughtful experts came together to establish ideas for ensuring that the remainder of this century offers meaningful, decently paid work, it’s long past time that tomorrow’s jobs become a national priority.

One thing is for sure: We can’t let Silicon Valley and multinatio­nal corporatio­ns determine the future of our work for us.

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