ANAL­Y­SIS

Daily Racing Form National Digital Edition - - Aqueduct -

BEST BET: RACE 6, FROSTY MAR­GARITA

FIRST RACE

Fa­mil­iar foes square off yet again in Sun­day’s opener, where TIME FOR ANGIE shoots for her fourth straight win af­ter pre­vail­ing on fast, muddy and sloppy tracks; ver­sa­tile run­ning style, has op­tions break­ing out­side. MIS­CHIEVOUS SOPHIE is 2 for 2 on dirt for her cur­rent con­nec­tions while also dis­play­ing the where­withal to be ef­fec­tive from var­i­ous early po­si­tions; 50% win­ner on dirt over­all. COLONEL JUANITA has fin­ished first or se­cond in her last 14 dirt races, while mix­ing it up with the top two and in-form DA WILD­CAT GIRL since the fall for a num­ber of dif­fer­ent out­fits.

SE­COND RACE

GRANDPA’S PRINCESS takes a mul­ti­ple-level drop in class and stretches out af­ter two re­turn sprints with blink­ers added; her only 1 1/16-mile race was a $250K stake on Poly­track. SEVEN DREAMS also gets some class re­lief, tak­ing a 50 per­cent price cut af­ter chas­ing a slow pace first out at the meet; has won on the in­ner track (with Jose Or­tiz) each of the last two win­ters. MY WILD GATA ral­lied from last off a slow pace to get by PORCIA for se­cond most re­cently; usu­ally gets a share.

THIRD RACE

VIN­CENTO ral­lied wide af­ter trail­ing early and drew out to a good-fig­ure de­but win, fol­lowed by a mild re­gres­sion fin­ish­ing third at 3- 5 be­hind Taoiseach, who was sub­se­quently beaten in a photo in the Da­mon Run­yon; taken to re­bound with blink­ers on se­cond time over the track. CELTIC CHAOS wound up close be­hind Vin­cento when also sent two turns for the first time Dec. 11; picks up lead­ing rider. CAUSE FOR SUR­PRISE and OWNER GEN­TLE­MAN are right in the thick of this based on their wins in divi­sions of a maiden spe­cial-weight route Dec. 30 through sim­i­lar frac­tions.

FOURTH RACE

GAM­BLER’S GHOST and SKY COM­MAN­DER were each ca­pa­ble of run­ning 90+ Beyer Fig­ures last spring, and re­cently re­turned from lay­offs catch­ing wet tracks in their ini­tial at­tempts on the in­ner dirt; ei­ther or both might wake up and pro­duce a sharper per­for­mance now. NON STOP has an edge based on re­cent form, with fig­ures of 85 in three of his last four starts; han­dles any foot­ing.

FIFTH RACE

MY MAN SAM was bumped soundly at the break, had just one ri­val beat through the first halfmile and fin­ished well enough to beat half the field (not miss­ing third by much) in his de­but; well con­nected colt stretches out. BIG GIL­LETTE bob­bled at the start and ran CADEYRN to a photo when they both went two turns on dirt for the first time; comes off an­other tough beat as the fa­vorite with blink­ers added. Cadeyrn is an ob­vi­ous con­tender af­ter hold­ing his ground stub­bornly six weeks ago; like the top pick, he must work out a trip from the far out­side.

SIXTH RACE

FROSTY MAR­GARITA is a dou­ble ad­van­tage play based on the fig­ures earned in her two re­cent stakes vic­to­ries, and she has since posted two bul­let works for the stretch to two turns; good try in $250K Maid of the Mist in only route at­tempt. AB­SATOOTLY was saved by the wire tak­ing a head­bob de­ci­sion over BACK­WOOD BAY in the East View; nice de­vel­op­ment thus far. KAT­NISS THE VIC­TOR over­came a wide trip to win her de­but go­ing long; big chance for a share de­spite post.

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