ANAL­Y­SIS

Daily Racing Form National Digital Edition - - Santa Anita -

BEST BET: RACE 1, GUST FIRST RACE

GUST looks tough to beat in this maiden-40 sprint for fil­lies and mares. Run­ner-up vs. spe­cial-weight maid­ens last out in her first off the claim, she drops back to the maiden-claim­ing ranks and meets an ap­par­ently weak field. Looks like a stand­out from here. RIGHT­EOUS DIXIE fin­ished an okay se­cond last out, be­hind a next-out win­ner. Blinkers are on the lightly raced (two starts) filly. She should be po­si­tioned rel­a­tively close to a mod­er­ate pace. MANDY D broke slow and split the field in her de­but vs. spe­cial-weight maid­ens. She meets eas­ier se­cond time out. SUM­MER­TIME MIS­CHIEF has de­cent fig­ures, but sprint­ing has not re­ally been her game.

SE­COND RACE

CHAYBABY fig­ures to start at a short price in this route for 3yo maiden fil­lies. Sired by Curlin, ‘BABY fin­ished a re­spectable se­cond in her sprint de­but, has a steady work pat­tern since, and should love the stretch from seven fur­longs to one mile. She fig­ures to be for­wardly placed, fac­ing only one ap­par­ent pace ri­val. That is BERNINA STAR, a sixs­tart maiden drawn di­rectly out­side the fa­vorite. ‘STAR has three routes un­der her belt, in­clud­ing a run­ner-up fin­ish last out in which she fin­ished more than five lengths clear of third. One of th­ese days, she will find the right field. CZA­RINA, a sta­ble­mate of the top choice, re­turns from a twom­onth lay­off. The only time she ran long on dirt at Santa Anita, she fin­ished a close se­cond be­hind sub­se­quent G1 win­ner Abel Tas­man.

THIRD RACE

The run­ner-up fin­ish last out by HOW ABOUT ZERO was a lot bet­ter than it ap­pears in her past per­for­mances. Over­looked at 27-1 in the Cal Cup Oaks, she was shuf­fled back into the first turn, stead­ied sharply and com­pletely lost po­si­tion on the turn and into the back­stretch, knocked a ri­val side­ways at the head of the stretch while ral­ly­ing, and fin­ished with run. With a dif­fer­ent trip, she might have given the win­ner a bat­tle. ‘ZERO han­dles turf or dirt (rain fore­cast), and should make short work of this field as­sum­ing a clean trip. MY PI RO­MANCER mis­fired in the Cal Cup, but her fron­trun­ning maiden win two back would put her in the mix. Like the top choice, ‘RO­MANCER can run on dirt. PRINCESS ROI also fig­ures off her third in the Cal Cup.

FOURTH RACE

AU­TUMN TWI­LIGHT was in too tough in an open $25k claim­ing sprint, and faded af­ter press­ing the pace. She stretches back to two turns, drops con­sid­er­ably in class to $16k claim­ing N3L, and would be tough to beat if she runs back to her N2L romp two back. SHESWILDNFREE switched to Flavien Prat and dom­i­nated N2L foes from off the pace. Her style is op­po­site the top choice, seems like a short ex­acta. PASCHALITSA fin­ished an okay third last out in a sim­i­lar race.

FIFTH RACE

YAVRIG moved up a ton first off the claim by Jorge Periban, fin­ish­ing se­cond in a $25k claim­ing N2L sprint while more than seven lengths clear of third. A wet track would be fine, there is enough speed to flat­ter her clos­ing kick as she short­ens from seven fur­longs to six. ROCKANTHAROS en­ters with the top last-start fig­ure, a 72 Beyer she earned fin­ish­ing se­cond af­ter set­ting the pace in a sim­i­lar race at five and one-half fur­longs. Win or lose, she will be part of the speed. SHARP HOL­I­DAY has back-to­back thirds at this level, and enough speed to keep the pace­set­ter in her sights. TUS­CANY BEAUTY helps keep the pace hon­est.

SIXTH RACE

DIS­TINC­TIVE B and WELL MEA­SURED are tough to sep­a­rate in this N2X/op­tional $62.5k claim­ing sprint. DIS­TINC­TIVE B fin­ished se­cond last out in a highly rated race at this level. The win­ner Moe Candy re­turned to fin­ish se­cond in a graded stake; third-place fin­isher Drover Crazy re­turned to win a $40k claim­ing sprint. DIS­TINC­TIVE B has speed, is ver­sa­tile, and drawn out­side his main ri­val. That is WELL MEA­SURED, who im­proved a bunch first off the claim and fin­ished se­cond in a $150k state-bred stakes. He might have won if he had not lugged in through the lane. WELL MEA­SURED must over­come the rail post, which he has run well from in the past. Pos­si­bly the fastest in the field based on his 98 last-out Beyer, the ques­tion

is whether he string to­gether top ef­forts with­out a lay­off line in be­tween. BLAMEITON­THELAW ran the race of his ca­reer two starts back win­ning a N1X on a track listed “good.” Con­di­tions could be sim­i­lar this time. KEN­TUCK­IAN re­turns from a lay­off. A stakes win­ner at 3, he is now 5.

SEV­ENTH RACE

This sprint for Cal-bred maiden fil­lies is sched­uled for the hill, but with rain in the fore­cast, foot­ing is un­cer­tain. A switch to dirt would fine for sev­en­start maiden RADISH, run­ner-up by a head last out while more than three clear of third. In the money six of seven on dirt, RADISH may fi­nally have found a field she can beat. GEE STREET was a well­bet dis­ap­point­ment in her de­but five months ago at Golden Gate. Fol­low­ing that ninth-place fin­ish on syn­thetic, she was trans­ferred to trainer Richard Bal­tas in South­ern Cal­i­for­nia; the Street Boss filly should re­turn as an im­proved 3yo. ASHLEY’S CHARMS ran well in her third-place de­but, and then re­gressed in her se­cond start. She was keen, rank, vis­i­bly un­happy and fin­ished eighth. Blinkers off, short­ens to a sprint, she is a le­git­i­mate threat from off the pace. Not sure if a switch to the main track would be to her ben­e­fit, how­ever. She is a sib­ling to mil­lion­aire mul­ti­ple graded turf win­ner Ash­ley­lu­vs­sugar.

EIGHTH RACE

CHILEANNA drops for the first time into a maid­en­claim­ing race, and switches to dirt for the first time. The lightly raced (two starts) filly has a dirt pedi­gree; her fourth-place de­but three months ago in a Cal-bred maiden spe­cial-weight would be just about good enough to win at this level. GIO’S LADY is a seven-start maiden with two in-the-money fin­ishes from her last three on the main track. Though her de­vel­op­ment seems to have stalled, this might be the eas­i­est field she has faced. HER BIG MO­MENT stretches out to two turns, with a pedi­gree that gives her a li­cense to im­prove at the trip (Awe­some Again, A.P. Indy). Fur­ther­more, if the track comes up wet, her Tom­lin­son wet fig­ure is 428, tops in the field. The­o­ret­i­cally, she should rel­ish mud. PARTY GIRL stretches out with enough speed to con­test the pace.

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