Hoosier $40,000 Guaranteed Pick 4 Analysis

Race 9 - $500,000 3YO Filly Pace

Arguably the best 3-year-old filly pacer at times this year, (5) AGENT Q was flat as a pancake in her elimination. Knowing that a victory wasnʼt absolutely necessary that night to make the Final, Iʼm expecting trainer Aaron Lambert to have her tighter this week. (2) CAVIART ALLY may have finished fifth but put in a strong mile in the elimination. She remains the ʻnowʼ filly in this field. (4) INVERSE HANOVER was dull in the Glen Garnsey at Lexington but clearly had more life with Lasix added last week; we just didnʼt see it because she was stuck in stretch traffic. (3) ELLA CHRISTINA blew up the tote board a week ago and can sprint the final quarter with any of these; capable with a trip. (1) BLAZIN BRITCHES has the talent to win but I would need at least 5-1 to roll the dice; maybe we get that? (7) IDYLLIC BEACH has been racing much better in recent weeks and she would be no surprise in the best Crown race on the card.

Race 10 - $500,000 3YO Filly Trot

Perhaps Iʼm digging too deep here, but we already saw (8) ARIANA G go down once to defeat over a sloppy track, though a completely different surface at the Red Mile. It really depends on what type of wet track we get as some tracks remain very fast and hard through the rain. If that is the case, Ariana G is my selection. If we get a more tiring track, Iʼm throwing my support elsewhere since her natural ability will be negated to some extent as the times of these races will be slower. (4) DREAM TOGETHER hasnʼt trotted a huge mile yet this year, but she may not need to if the track is on the slow side. She is extremely consistent and has the speed to stay in striking range. Iʼll throw her on the ticket if the track is slow.

Race 11 - $600,000 2YO Filly Pace

(4) YOUAREMYCANDYGIRL and (3) RAINBOW ROOM are difficult to separate on paper. Sometimes you have to go with your gut and mine has never been a big fan of Rainbow Room as she has lost races where she should have won from my perspective. Iʼll take ʻCandy Girlʼ as she seeks her fifth straight win, but use both on top.

Race 12 - $250,000 Mare Pace

(4) DARLINONTHEBEACH is a very talented mare that could save an otherwise bad season with a Breeders Crown win. She is versatile enough to win from on or off the pace and should still offer decent value with (3) NIKE FRANCO N signed on. The latter has won three straight and is a victory away from locking up divisional honors; must use.

.50 Ticket: 1,2,3,4,5,7 / 4,8 / 3,4 / 3,4 = $24