ANALYSIS

BEST BET: RACE 3, SHES ONE MAD MOMMA

FIRST RACE

NORA’S DRAMA is very obvious off that well-bet debut try, when she was 2nd by just a neck after flashing high speed, but she just seems to be too good for these; the one to catch from the rail once again, but if she runs to that 74 Beyer she’s going to be tough to reel in this time. WILD CAT GRACE comes out of the same race, and though she was well beaten by the top pick she could move up here if that runner gets any kind of pace pressure; extra distance helps. ROYALTY FOR LIFE has some speed of her own and makes her third start off the layoff.

SECOND RACE

GRAND NENUCO has a decent late kick under the right circumstances, and he should get an honest pace to chase today; goes a little longer today which should work to his advantage. ESCAPE VELOCITY is the main speed, the one to catch and beat under Gallardo with the best Beyers in the field; he got away unpressured in his last two, which could be problematic today from his wide post. UNBRIDLED PIPER was rained off the turf in his latest but he’s clearly more comfortable on this surface; improvement very likely.

THIRD RACE

SHES ONE MAD MOMMA was overmatched in her first start vs. winners but she will be a handful here, especially if she gets the trip behind a contested pace, as expected; looking for her to run them all down late. TAYANNA is another who stands to benefit from the expected race flow; latest Beyer gives her strong credibility. SUNSET EMPIRE likes to be close up but she can also rate and make one run; that tactical speed could lead to a perfect trip off the leaders.

FOURTH RACE

VENNILOPE PITSTOP has speed and the hedge, and with a clean getaway she could well be the one to catch; she comes out of a race where she was one of several speeds but she may be the control- ling pacesetter today. SM OK IN’ AND DRINK IN is the other speed, and she’s another who will benefit from a forward trip; dangerous if ready off the layoff. FREAKIN’ ME OUT turns back in distance and may appreciate this shorter distance; duel between the top pair would move her way up.

FIFTH RACE

G Q GIRL has been away but she lands in a seemingly good spot as the controlling speed in a race that seems a little light on pace; obvious concerns given the layoff and the drop in class but this doesn’t seem to be a deep group. ATHENA’S REVENGE was a remote 2nd in her last appearance on the main track but she was well clear for the place; has the speed to stay close, which will be an edge if the pace is controlled. FAST POINT may be the main stretch; she has a decent late kick, and she was hurt by a slow start in that last one.

SIXTH RACE

EXTRA SALSA usually rallies strongly, and though she was off the board in her first start back off the short rest she was moving well through the lane; figures to offer a pari-mutuel alternative to likely heavy favorite SPEEDING STARLET. The latter is the most likely winner in her first start off the Bennett claim but she figures to be overbet some, given the connections; has the speed to get position but can also rate if need be. BULLET THEBLUE SKY is on the AE list, and will thus need some help getting into the race, but if he does get to run he figures to be a top contender, based on his best turf figures.

SEVENTH RACE

PROPHETIC DREAM may be worth a shot at a price, as he has competitive Beyers and he does figure to be overlooked some; can stay close if need be. STORM PROTECTION hasn’t been out since mid-December, and though he was no threat there the $16,000 maiden claimers are a much tougher lot than $8,000 maiden claimers at this stage of the meet; may look to steal it. RD LUCKEY benefited from a forward trip when he posted that 56 Beyer last time but he has to be respected off that figure.

EIGHTH RACE

SHE’S RIGHT AGAIN is at a lighter price tag than she was when last seen, in mid-December, but of greater import is the class drop, as the nonwinners of two lifetime level at the start of the meet contains much better runners; steady recent Beyers add to the appeal. ALOHA STREET hasn’t been seen since last summer but he merits respect based on his best figures; should be a late threat if ready off the bench. BLOUBERG BEACH has speed and the rail in a race which lacks a clear-cut pace scenario; may be the one to catch.

NINTH RACE

A. P. D’ORO had excuses in his last few losses, including a pace excuse in his latest, a dull try on turf two back and a longer distance three back; may be in the right spot here, especially given some pace in front of him. RESIDENT is widest, and he’s off the layoff, which makes taking a short price on the win end difficult; the other concern is the drop off the break, but the reality is he’s going to be tough if he runs to his best figures. CALL ME HANDSOME usually gets a part, and is easy to like for the bottom of exotics; win chances would increase if he were finally able to shake loose early.

TENTH RACE

LADY ALLYN is a complete guess as we wrap up the meet but it is a wide open race, she has run some decent races in grass sprints in the past, and she looms a huge price; presence of Chuck Lopez a plus, too. ASHLEY’S ROSE is the favorite despite the fact that she seems to prefer settling for lesser awards; certainly an exacta candidate but she’s an underlay on top. HIGH HEEL CHIC makes her turf debut but she catches a weak field, and she does have proven speed; also has Gallardo, which gives her instant credibility.