ANAL­Y­SIS

Daily Racing Form National Digital Edition - - Gulfstream -

BEST BET: RACE 6, FLASHY CHELSEY

FIRST RACE

BEACH DREAMING was no match for the win­ner but she ran a strong race to get the place, clos­ing ground in a race a lit­tle light on speed; also ral­lied nicely two back de­spite mild early splits. DUDACITY matches up well with the top pick in terms of Bey­ers, and she comes off a nar­row loss; the short lay­off is a con­cern but the slight rise in class is en­cour­ag­ing. BERNING RE­PENT was rained off the grass last time but she should im­prove with the re­turn to her pre­ferred sur­face.

SEC­OND RACE

SOLD ON SALSA sports a sharp breeze since her lat­est try and it can be pre­sumed that she worked with blinkers, which she adds for the first time to­day; im­prove­ment ex­pected. EVER SO D’WILD out­ran other speeds to make the lead when in against bet­ter over the sum­mer, and she wilted late as the closers took full ad­van­tage of the race flow; softer pace helps the cause. VI­O­LENT DAN­GER is an un­known quan­tity, ship­ping in from Ca­marero in Puerto Rico, but she comes off three straight open­length wins and she does have proven speed.

THIRD RACE

MONEY PURSE didn’t run badly when last seen, at Saratoga, with the re­sult­ing Beyer mak­ing her the one to beat with the lo­cals; also easy to like off the run­ner-up fin­ish two back. GRACIAS ADIOS was very game in de­feat in her re­turn from the lay­off, and though the Beyer is a lit­tle light she has li­cense to im­prove upon that if able to shake loose this time around. IS THAT MAGIC is at her low­est level yet, and she’s a strong fit with th­ese based on the de­but Beyer.

FOURTH RACE

PAY ANY PRICE is go­ing to be a short price here but he’s tough to go past, com­ing off three straight scores over this course and com­plete with strong Bey­ers; the lay­off is not a con­cern, as he has run well off the bench in the past, and if he is close to ready he just seems too good for th­ese. BRANDY’S GIRL looks like the main, as she has posted Bey­ers in the past that puts her close to the top pick; needs to run to those fig­ures to win this, though that may be a lot to ask as she makes her first start since Jan­uary. FIELD TRIP is en­tered for Main Track Only and she looms the top threat if this race is rained off; loves a wet track.

FIFTH RACE

DIAMOND SQUARE gets an ex­tra six­teenth of a mile here and that could work to his ad­van­tage, as he’s at his best when he can stalk from just off the pace and make one run; steady dirt Bey­ers add to the ap­peal. BROWNS GAP is more of a com­mit­ted fron­trun­ner than the top pick but he, too, is also ca­pa­ble of rat­ing off the pace and mak­ing one run; may get first run at ex­pected leader POWERLINE. GRAN CHIEF ben­e­fited from the race flow to score against non-win­ners of three and he may well get an­other fa­vor­able set up to­day.

SIXTH RACE

FLASHY CHELSEY has been in very good form since re­turn­ing from the lay­off, reg­is­ter­ing a pair of run­ner-up fin­ishes in ad­di­tion to a vic­tory, and his tac­ti­cal speed has been a big part of his suc­cess; lands in a race lack­ing an ob­vi­ous race

flow and that should mean he’s in po­si­tion to cap­i­tal­ize. SON OF OAHU is an ob­vi­ous threat on the strength of his most re­cent fig­ures, and he comes off a win against the top pick; may have to over­come the race flow. MOD­ERN TALE is an­other who will be look­ing to close, but while he is wide he also has enough early zip to stay close. SWEET TEA JACK had a tough post for his de­but, on the turf, but he broke well enough to flash some speed be­fore tir­ing; switches to dirt and catches a seem­ingly av­er­age field, with his early speed a big edge. AC­COUN­TANT Q seemed to try the rat­ing game in his first start off the short rest but he should be ex­pected to show more speed to­day; price drop to­day, and while he moves from state­bred ranks the large ma­jor­ity of th­ese are in fact Florida breds. TOSS was game to save the place af­ter prompt­ing the pace last time; far be­hind the run­away win­ner there but that was a race that came up fairly quick.

EIGHTH RACE

DE­LI­CIOUS PUR­SUIT was well back on the wire in her lat­est but she was caught up in an early duel there af­ter break­ing from the out­er­most post; wide again here but if she can avoid a duel in her first start off the claim she cer­tainly has li­cense to move for­ward off that run­ning line. TRUE HEIRESS couldn’t stay with the even­tual win­ner last time but she showed two and three back she’s prob­a­bly at her best when able to take back and make a stretch run; dan­ger­ous un­der those cir­cum­stances. OUTRANK usu­ally goes longer but she mer­its re­spect off her best fig­ures.

NINTH RACE

DUKE OF MI­AMI was be­hind a few of th­ese last time out but if you can for­give that ef­fort he mer­its a look based on the Beyer he posted two back; look­ing for him to show more speed this time around. SPINTALK wasn’t away alertly when last seen, and that was a race fea­tur­ing sev­eral speeds, mak­ing it tough for him to gain early po­si­tion; work­ing well to­ward his first start of 2018. ARTIST seems to have found his niche as a stone closer, and he’s the one to fear late; ca­pa­ble given enough pace.

TENTH RACE

LOOKINLIKEAQUEEN is kin to three win­ners, in­clud­ing Char­lie’s Brother, a lo­cal stakes win­ner who posted three wins and earned over $127K; barn sports pos­i­tive stats with de­but maiden claimers (21%, $2.30 ROI). WIWI CEL­E­BRA­TION threw a clunker last time but he should be re­spected off the ef­fort two back; needs to stay close from the start. MYFRANCESCA is on the Also El­i­gi­ble list but she’s a threat if she goes, based on the de­cent ef­fort in her bow against sim­i­lar; also worth not­ing that trainer Terri Pom­pay is cur­rently at 31% with her 2nd-time starters.

ELEVENTH RACE

PRINCESS KNOLL came from just off the pace to fin­ish a close-up third in her lat­est but she may well be the one to catch in this sprint, as­sum­ing she breaks well from the rail; her abil­ity to lead or rate gives jockey Tyler Gaf­falione some op­tions. HEIRESSALL is the other po­ten­tial speed, if she runs here in­stead of in Satur­day’s 9th race, where she is also en­tered; note the barn’s record at the meet. FIRST DIS­TINC­TION will be run­ning late; may be the main ben­e­fi­ciary if the top pair were to hook up in an early duel.

TWELFTH RACE

KAYLIE’S GIRL was off the board in her last ap­pear­ance on the grass but that was no easy trip, as she was caught up in a race-long pace bat­tle, and she weak­ened only late; li­cense to steal this given a kinder race flow. BRENDA’S G L P’s dam, Bel Danc­ing, won her de­but and all of her other three races, and while all were on the dirt her only other foal to start scored on the green; work­ing well enough. BROAD­WAY PEGGY ral­lied for the place in her lat­est try on the turf, two back, and she cer­tainly has to be con­sid­ered a top con­tender to­day based on that fig­ure.

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