ANALYSIS

BEST BET: RACE 6, FLASHY CHELSEY

FIRST RACE

BEACH DREAMING was no match for the winner but she ran a strong race to get the place, closing ground in a race a little light on speed; also rallied nicely two back despite mild early splits. DUDACITY matches up well with the top pick in terms of Beyers, and she comes off a narrow loss; the short layoff is a concern but the slight rise in class is encouraging. BERNING REPENT was rained off the grass last time but she should improve with the return to her preferred surface.

SECOND RACE

SOLD ON SALSA sports a sharp breeze since her latest try and it can be presumed that she worked with blinkers, which she adds for the first time today; improvement expected. EVER SO D’WILD outran other speeds to make the lead when in against better over the summer, and she wilted late as the closers took full advantage of the race flow; softer pace helps the cause. VIOLENT DANGER is an unknown quantity, shipping in from Camarero in Puerto Rico, but she comes off three straight openlength wins and she does have proven speed.

THIRD RACE

MONEY PURSE didn’t run badly when last seen, at Saratoga, with the resulting Beyer making her the one to beat with the locals; also easy to like off the runner-up finish two back. GRACIAS ADIOS was very game in defeat in her return from the layoff, and though the Beyer is a little light she has license to improve upon that if able to shake loose this time around. IS THAT MAGIC is at her lowest level yet, and she’s a strong fit with these based on the debut Beyer.

FOURTH RACE

PAY ANY PRICE is going to be a short price here but he’s tough to go past, coming off three straight scores over this course and complete with strong Beyers; the layoff is not a concern, as he has run well off the bench in the past, and if he is close to ready he just seems too good for these. BRANDY’S GIRL looks like the main, as she has posted Beyers in the past that puts her close to the top pick; needs to run to those figures to win this, though that may be a lot to ask as she makes her first start since January. FIELD TRIP is entered for Main Track Only and she looms the top threat if this race is rained off; loves a wet track.

FIFTH RACE

DIAMOND SQUARE gets an extra sixteenth of a mile here and that could work to his advantage, as he’s at his best when he can stalk from just off the pace and make one run; steady dirt Beyers add to the appeal. BROWNS GAP is more of a committed frontrunner than the top pick but he, too, is also capable of rating off the pace and making one run; may get first run at expected leader POWERLINE. GRAN CHIEF benefited from the race flow to score against non-winners of three and he may well get another favorable set up today.

SIXTH RACE

FLASHY CHELSEY has been in very good form since returning from the layoff, registering a pair of runner-up finishes in addition to a victory, and his tactical speed has been a big part of his success; lands in a race lacking an obvious race

flow and that should mean he’s in position to capitalize. SON OF OAHU is an obvious threat on the strength of his most recent figures, and he comes off a win against the top pick; may have to overcome the race flow. MODERN TALE is another who will be looking to close, but while he is wide he also has enough early zip to stay close. SWEET TEA JACK had a tough post for his debut, on the turf, but he broke well enough to flash some speed before tiring; switches to dirt and catches a seemingly average field, with his early speed a big edge. ACCOUNTANT Q seemed to try the rating game in his first start off the short rest but he should be expected to show more speed today; price drop today, and while he moves from statebred ranks the large majority of these are in fact Florida breds. TOSS was game to save the place after prompting the pace last time; far behind the runaway winner there but that was a race that came up fairly quick.

EIGHTH RACE

DELICIOUS PURSUIT was well back on the wire in her latest but she was caught up in an early duel there after breaking from the outermost post; wide again here but if she can avoid a duel in her first start off the claim she certainly has license to move forward off that running line. TRUE HEIRESS couldn’t stay with the eventual winner last time but she showed two and three back she’s probably at her best when able to take back and make a stretch run; dangerous under those circumstances. OUTRANK usually goes longer but she merits respect off her best figures.

NINTH RACE

DUKE OF MIAMI was behind a few of these last time out but if you can forgive that effort he merits a look based on the Beyer he posted two back; looking for him to show more speed this time around. SPINTALK wasn’t away alertly when last seen, and that was a race featuring several speeds, making it tough for him to gain early position; working well toward his first start of 2018. ARTIST seems to have found his niche as a stone closer, and he’s the one to fear late; capable given enough pace.

TENTH RACE

LOOKINLIKEAQUEEN is kin to three winners, including Charlie’s Brother, a local stakes winner who posted three wins and earned over $127K; barn sports positive stats with debut maiden claimers (21%, $2.30 ROI). WIWI CELEBRATION threw a clunker last time but he should be respected off the effort two back; needs to stay close from the start. MYFRANCESCA is on the Also Eligible list but she’s a threat if she goes, based on the decent effort in her bow against similar; also worth noting that trainer Terri Pompay is currently at 31% with her 2nd-time starters.

ELEVENTH RACE

PRINCESS KNOLL came from just off the pace to finish a close-up third in her latest but she may well be the one to catch in this sprint, assuming she breaks well from the rail; her ability to lead or rate gives jockey Tyler Gaffalione some options. HEIRESSALL is the other potential speed, if she runs here instead of in Saturday’s 9th race, where she is also entered; note the barn’s record at the meet. FIRST DISTINCTION will be running late; may be the main beneficiary if the top pair were to hook up in an early duel.

TWELFTH RACE

KAYLIE’S GIRL was off the board in her last appearance on the grass but that was no easy trip, as she was caught up in a race-long pace battle, and she weakened only late; license to steal this given a kinder race flow. BRENDA’S G L P’s dam, Bel Dancing, won her debut and all of her other three races, and while all were on the dirt her only other foal to start scored on the green; working well enough. BROADWAY PEGGY rallied for the place in her latest try on the turf, two back, and she certainly has to be considered a top contender today based on that figure.