ANAL­Y­SIS

Daily Racing Form National Digital Edition - - Woodbine -

BEST BET: RACE 5, JUST LIKE LARRY

FIRST RACE

STRIKE IT ROYAL pre­vailed in a front-end bat­tle be­fore weak­en­ing to sec­ond at first ask­ing in a seven-fur­long maiden spe­cial a month ago. She only has to go three-quar­ters this time, and her hot trainer has ex­cel­lent num­bers with maiden sec­ond-timers. WILD N READY placed in back-to­back starts be­fore a fad­ing fourth be­hind the top choice in her lat­est. VIVACITAS might be ready for an im­proved per­for­mance af­ter work­ing well with De­la­mar the other day.

SEC­OND RACE

PLACE THE BLAME is halv­ing in price from $25K while chang­ing sur­faces to the Tapeta, over which she fin­ished third in her lone start on it last fall at 2. ATIYA is an­other drop­per who could be in the hunt. The ch­est­nut is adding blink­ers, which is a low-per­cent­age an­gle for this pro­duc­tive barn. FLOAT­ING RATE faded to sixth be­hind the top pick af­ter fight­ing for the lead Sept. 28. The top bug Kimura picks up the mount on the daugh­ter of Ex­change Rate.

THIRD RACE

STORMY RUSH rode a speed bias to vic­tory in a July 29 op­tional starter on the main track. He wound up fifth most re­cently in a key sec­ondlevel op­tional claimer on the grass, and is mov­ing back down to op­tional starter com­pany in this six-fur­long turf sprint. FOR­EST BROTHER scored off the McKnight claim in an N1X Aug. 12, and is com­ing off a sec­ond at this level to MARTEN LAKE, who came back to take an­other op­tional starter on the main track. The of­fi­cial six-fur­long time of the lat­ter race (1:08.86) is in ques­tion. Hand-tim­ing re­veals it should be ap­prox­i­mately 1:09.70.

FOURTH RACE

NIGHT WATCH­MAN is adding bar shoes for the drop from 20K NW2 to $10K NW2 com­pany. He’s back on the Tapeta sur­face on which he lost a fast route by a whisker Sept. 3. BOY­HOOD DREAM is plung­ing to the lower ranks off a wide/non-threat­en­ing fourth for $40K. Her­nan­dez is 10 for 39 at the meet for the Maker barn. GI­ANT MINE went four-wide on the first turn and five-wide on the sec­ond when fourth in a slow-placed event at this level Sept. 28. Use him un­der­neath in the gim­micks, along with SLAM.

FIFTH RACE

JUST LIKE LARRY has been scratched twice since his com­mend­able ef­fort in an Aug. 24 maiden spe­cial, dur­ing which he was herded out at the break be­fore end­ing up sec­ond. The first and third horses from that seven-fur­long sprint both came back to place in the G1 Sum­mer, and War of Will even­tu­ally fin­ished a close fourth in the G3 Bour­bon at Keeneland. COM­BAT­IVE got away slowly be­fore go­ing four-wide on the turn en route to a sec­ond as the fa­vorite at first ask­ing in a Tapeta sprint Sept. 23. Vi­o­lence is a high-per­cent­age turf sire, but the $500K 2yo pur­chase is bred for the dirt on the dam’s side. D MA­GI­CIAN du­eled for the lead be­fore fad­ing to fourth be­hind COM­BAT­IVE in his opener, a race he can build on if he han­dles the grass.

SIXTH RACE

JEAN EL­IZ­A­BETH is 6 for 9 life­time, which in­cluded four Poly­track vic­to­ries at Ar­ling­ton. The speedy ship­per could go all the way with Val­divia rid­ing for Riv­elli, the same combo which won the night­cap here last Mon­day with a front-run­ner. GLA­MA­NA­TION awaited room on the turn be­fore clos­ing from two lengths back to pre­vail by three lengths in a re­cent N1X Tapeta sprint. She’s found her call­ing as an off-the-pace sprinter, and has the high­est

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