ANALYSIS

BEST BET: RACE 3, FRANKIE BARONE

FIRST RACE

AS IT SHOULD BE was let go at a big price first time out at Oaklawn and only earned a 43 Beyer in finishing 7th, but she ran better than it looks in that race while encountering trouble at a couple of different points; half to the good dirt sprinter Tumbling Sky from the female family of the speedy Forest Music may be set to run much better with that experience behind her. BEFORE YOU was bumped at the start of her Tampa debut, before racing wide, and her greenness in the stretch might have cost her after getting a look at the winner on the lead; gets a trainer change to Mott for her NY debut after apparently being privately purchased. AFTER THE PARTY debuts for an excellent first-out trainer and draws well on the outside; $750k purchase by a top sire is a half to two winners from a dam who was a minor stakes winner sprinting on dirt.

SECOND RACE

EAGLE PASS is a prior multiple winner on this circuit, and he has picked up three more victories since returning to dirt just about a year ago; like this distance for him as he switches barns, and a wet track would not bother him at all. JUSTIN FRONT ran pretty well two back in a closers race before getting over two months off, and he was sharp when returned last time to post an easy win over a couple of these same rivals with a new top Beyer; tactical speed makes him dangerous right back. BRUSH COUNTRY was no threat to JUSTIN FRONT for $8k last time after being rated off the pace on the outside; put in a good finish for 2nd at the end and he handles the added furlong her gets here.

THIRD RACE

FRANKIE BARONE is 0-5 since switching to dirt at the end of last year, but he has run better than it may appear in a couple of those races, including that last one when rating from the start and then putting in a game finish with a new top figure on this surface; one more chance. DYNAMAX PRIME has worked his way back down the ladder over the past six months or so and finally broke through with an overdue win two back at this level; re-claimed by Atras after racing wide and away from a strong rail last time. MAC’S REVOLUTION’s last three wins came when shipped out to Finger Lakes at the end of last year; found the nine furlongs a little too far upon his return when blowing a stretch lead to longshot HAWAIIAN NOISES and he has faced better in three straight since then.

FOURTH RACE

REGAL GLORY and COUNTERPARTY RISK looking to give Chad Brown a fifth straight win in this race and are likely to be two of the favorites at post time. Giving preference to the former, who has shown up every time while accumulating three graded stakes wins during an underrated career; has the layoff to overcome but she is adaptable to different pace scenarios and handles any kind of going. COUNTERPARTY RISK more lightlyraced than her stablemate and has improved to earn three straight 88 Beyers in stakes company, including that Grade 3 win up the rail at Tampa; tried a similar run last time vs. better and couldn’t find enough late, though she was briefly in tight. XANTHIQUE seems an unlikely winner here, assuming everyone shows up, but she is underrated and can get a piece at a price with her handy running style often leading to good trips.

FIFTH RACE

RAFFINITY took some money for her MSW debut at Saratoga last summer, where she raced greenly after trouble at the start and then failed to make headway in the stretch while refusing to change leads; starts back on the drop with Lasix and blinkers on and isn’t catching a tough field. RAINBOW GAL dropped a bit last time and could only chase the front-running favorite to no avail. while improving her figure ten points; the filly that outdueled her for 2nd in the stretch returned to win her next start by 16 lengths with a 72 Beyer. BUSTIN STONES UP a new face for a capable firstout trainer and she has speed on both sides of her