Daily Times (Primos, PA)

U.S. economic growth revised up to 3 percent in Q2

- By Martin Crutsinger

WASHINGTON » The U.S. economy rebounded sharply in the spring, growing at the fastest pace in more than two years amid brisk consumer spending on autos and other goods.

The gross domestic product, the broadest measure of economic health, grew at an annual rate of 3 percent in the April-June quarter, the Commerce Department reported Wednesday. It was the best showing since a 3.2 percent gain in the first quarter of 2015.

The result is a healthy upward revision from the government’s initial estimate of 2.6 percent growth in the second quarter. The growth rate in the January-March quarter was a lackluster 1.2 percent.

Paul Ashworth, chief U.S. economist at Capital Economics, said he believed that the strength in consumer spending should result in an “even stronger hand-off” for growth going into the current quarter. He predicted GDP would grow close to 3 percent this quarter.

President Donald Trump hailed the latest figures, declaring “we are really on our way.” Trump said if the economy is able to sustain growth at a3 percent rate, it would create 12 million new jobs and $10 trillion in new economic activity over the next decade.

“I happen to be one that thinks we can go much higher than 3 percent. There is no reason why we shouldn’t,” Trump told a crowd in Missouri where he was campaignin­g for support for the administra­tion’s tax plan that would cut rates for individual­s and businesses.

During last year’s campaign, Trump pledged to boost economic growth to 4 percent or better.

The budget the president released in May projects GDP growth will rise to 3 percent over the next four years and remain at that level for the rest of the decade. However, pri- vate economists and the nonpartisa­n Congressio­nal Budget Office believe that forecast is unrealisti­c. CBO is forecastin­g average growth of just 1.9 percent over the next decade.

For the second quarter, the government estimated that consumer spending grew at a 3.3 percent rate, the best showing in a year and up from an initial estimate of 2.8 percent growth. Much of the strength came from a sharp upward revision in spending on autos, which the government initially estimated as declining in the spring.

Investment by businesses also improved to growth of 6.9 percent, reflecting higher spending on struc- tures, equipment property.

Spending by government­s, which had grown 0.7 percent in the initial estimate, was revised to a decline at a 0.3 percent rate. The downgrade reflects a 1.7 percent fall in spending by state and local government­s.

This was the second of three estimates the government will provide for second quarter growth. Even with the upward revision, the weak start to the year means that growth over the past six months has averaged 2.1 percent, the same modest pace seen for the recovery that began in mid-2009. and intellectu­al

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