Dayton Daily News

Both parties could benefit by taking exit poll data to heart

- Mona Charen

give both Republican­s and Democrats cause for reflection.

A majority of voters (56 percent) were over the age of 50. This helped Republican­s, as older voters skew more Republican. But it didn’t help as much as it could have: Even among older voters, enthusiasm for Republican­s was muted. Of those ages 50 and above, only half gave their votes this year to a Republican candidate. Among the younger set, by contrast, lopsided percentage­s voted for Democrats. The 18- to 24-year-olds gave 68 percent of their support to Democrats. Among 25- to 29-yearolds, 66 percent voted Democrat. It was 59 percent among voters in their 30s and 52 percent among those in their 40s.

As in the past, white voters have tilted Republican, while minorities strongly favor Democrats. Fifty-four percent of white voters chose Republican this year, while 90 percent of blacks, 69 percent of Hispanics, 77 percent of Asians and 54 percent of other races voted Democrat. That Republican­s have failed to make inroads with minority voters — who, come what may, will constitute a larger and larger share of the electorate in the years to come — will yet cause tears. But even in the shorter run, like 2020, this should make Republican­s nervous.

Many politicos suggest that elections these days are decided by riling up and turning out the base, not by persuading the middle. Maybe that’s right. But if it isn’t, Republican­s might want to look over their shoulders at what’s happening with independen­ts. Fifty-four percent of self-described independen­ts voted Democrat in 2018, compared with only 42 percent in 2016. Among those calling themselves “moderates,” 52 percent voted for Clinton two years ago, while 62 percent voted Democrat on Tuesday.

Democrats, too, should comb these exit polls for clues to where they’ve gone wrong. Fifty percent of voters said Trump’s immigratio­n policies are either “about right” (33 percent) or “not tough enough” (17 percent). Portraying immigratio­n policy as a contest between the big-hearted and the bigots is not going to serve Democrats well.

A solid 56 percent of voters oppose the suggestion that Congress should impeach President Trump. While 54 percent of voters have an unfavorabl­e view of the president, that is nothing like the 90 percent disapprova­l among Democrats. Opinions of the Democratic Party aren’t so hot, either. Only 48 percent have a favorable opinion of the Democratic Party (versus 44 for the Republican Party).

A number of high-profile, high-octane, lefty candidates were defeated — Beto O’Rourke, Andrew Gillum and (likely) Stacey Abrams. This should cue the Democrats to look to their right for more viable choices. In the Republican Party, alas, it was mostly the moderates who were defeated — another artifact of Trump’s rise. The sensible middle still waits for a voice.

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