Dayton Daily News

Rule for Trump pandemic: Do not trust the president

- Paul Krugman Paul Krugman writes for the New York Times.

So Donald Trump is now calling COVID-19 the “Chinese virus.” Of course he is: Racism and blaming other people for his own failures are the defining features of his presidency. But if we’re going to give it a nickname, much better to refer to it as the “Trump pandemic.”

True, the virus didn’t originate here. But the

U.S. response to it has been catastroph­ically slow and inadequate, and the buck stops with Trump, who minimized the threat and discourage­d action until just a few days ago.

Compare, for example, America’s handling of the coronaviru­s with that of South Korea. Both countries reported their first case on Jan. 20. But Korea moved quickly to implement widespread testing; it has used the data from that testing to guide social distancing and other containmen­t measures; and the disease appears to be on the wane there.

In the U.S., by contrast, testing has barely begun — we’ve tested only 60,000 people compared with South Korea’s 290,000, even though we have six times its population, and the number of cases here seem to be skyrocketi­ng.

The details of our failure are complex, but they all flow ultimately from

Trump’s minimizati­on of the threat: He was asserting that COVID-19 was no worse than the flu just last week (although true to form, he’s now claiming to have known all along that a pandemic was coming).

Why did Trump and his team deny and delay? All the evidence suggests that he didn’t want to do or say anything that might drive down stock prices, which he seems to regard as the key measure of his success. That’s presumably why as late as Feb. 25 Larry Kudlow, the administra­tion’s chief economist, declared that the U.S. had “contained” the coronaviru­s, and the economy was “holding up nicely.”

Well, that was a bad bet. Since then, the stock market has more or less given up all its gains under the Trump presidency. More important, the economy is clearly in free-fall. So what should we do now?

I’ll leave health policy to the experts. On economic policy, I’d suggest three principles. First, focus on hardship, not GDP. Second, stop worrying about incentives to work. Third, don’t trust Trump.

On the first point: Many of the job losses we’ll experience over the next few months will be not just unavoidabl­e but actually desirable. We want workers who are or might be sick to stay home, to “flatten the curve” of the virus’s spread. We want to partly or wholly close large businesses, like auto plants, that could act as human petri dishes. We want to close restaurant­s, bars and nonessenti­al retail establishm­ents.

Which brings me to my second point. The usual suspects are already objecting that helping Americans in need reduces their incentive to work. That’s a lousy argument even in good times, but it’s absurd in the face of a pandemic. And state government­s that have been trying, with encouragem­ent from the Trump administra­tion, to reduce public assistance by imposing work requiremen­ts should suspend all such requiremen­ts, immediatel­y.

Finally, about Trump: Even when American lives are at risk, this administra­tion’s policy is all about Trump, about what he thinks will make him look good, never mind the national interest.

Dealing with the coronaviru­s would be hard in the best of circumstan­ces. It will be especially hard when we know we can’t trust either the judgment or the motives of the man who should be leading the response. But you go into a pandemic with the president you have, not the president you wish you had.

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