Dayton Daily News

Return of auto workers a positive

About half of workforce returns next week; pent-up demand seen.

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Defying a wave of layoffs that has sent the U.S. job market into its worst catastroph­e on record, at least one major industry is making a comeback: Tens of thousands of auto workers are returning to factories that have been shuttered since mid-March due to fears of spreading the coronaviru­s.

Until now, it was mostly hair salons, restaurant­s, tattoo parlors and other small businesses reopening in some parts of the country. The auto industry is among the first major sectors of the economy to restart its engine.

About 133,000 U.S. workers — just over half of the industry’s workforce before the pandemic — are expected to pour back into auto plants that will open in the coming week, according to estimates by The Associated Press. In addition, parts-making companies began cranking this week to get components flowing, adding thousands more workers.

Looming in the background is an economy decimated by the pandemic. Nearly 3 million laidoff U.S. workers applied for unemployme­nt benefits last week, raising the total seeking aid in the past two months to about 36 million. Although some states have begun to let selected businesses reopen, workers are still reporting difficulty getting unemployme­nt benefits.

Even the auto sector won’t see a full return to normal yet, and if people don’t start buying vehicles again, workers could be sent home. Yet automakers say there’s enough pent-up demand to get factories humming again.

That could help states slow the drain on their unemployme­nt benefit funds. In Michigan, where over one-third of the labor force sought benefits, the fund fell from $4.6 billion before the pandemic to $4.1 billion on April 30, said Jeff Donofrio, director of the state Department of Labor and Economic Opportunit­y. Some returning auto employees could work part time and get still some unemployme­nt benefits, but federal programs could cover part of their payments.

At Ford, where about 47,000 U.S. factory workers will return by next week, there’s optimism that consumer demand will accompany them. Chief Operating Officer Jim Farley said the company has seen sales start to recover.

Ford is predicting stronger sales in the future in Europe, China and the U.S. based on data collected from new models equipped with modems that show the number of times an engine is turned on and off. The company found a correlatio­n between the number of trips people take and auto sales, with trips increasing as restrictio­ns eased.

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