Democrat and Chronicle

Another lake effect storm to hit Buffalo, Batavia areas

- Victoria E. Freile

On the heels of the weekend lake effect snow that delayed the Buffalo Bills playoff game, parts of western New York are getting another blast of lake effect snow.

The National Weather Service in Buffalo issued a lake effect snow warning for Genesee, Wyoming and Erie counties from 1 p.m. Tuesday through 7 p.m. Thursday.

How much snow is forecast

Between 1 and 3 feet of lake effect snow are expected to fall in the most persistent lake effect snow bands, with much of the area expected to see 1 to 2 feet of snow, according to the Weather Service. The pending lake effect snow is again expected to pummel the Buffalo area, where more than 2 feet of snow fell over the weekend in blustery conditions.

When to expect heaviest snowfall

The heaviest snow is expected to fall on Wednesday, during the day and into the evening, said Weather Service meteorolog­ist Jim Mitchell. Wind gusts up to 40 mph are also expected on Wednesday afternoon and evening, which could create difficult travel conditions.

How much snow will Rochester get?

Monroe County may see a few inches of snow from this lake effect snow band. Forecaster­s on Tuesday said they do not expect lake effect snow to reach too far inland to heavily impact Rochester and Monroe County. It’s possible that the western part of the Monroe County could see some lake effect snow from the band on Wednesday and bring snow accumulati­on, said Mitchell.

How cold will it be in Rochester?

“It will be very cold, far colder than what we’ve had so far this winter,” Mitchell said.

The Weather Service predicted highs in the upper teens on Wednesday, low to mid-20s on Thursday and Friday and mid-teens on Saturday. The lows will range between 10 and 18 degrees. The normal high in Rochester in mid-January is 33 and the normal low is 19, according to the Weather Service.

What is lake effect snow?

Lake effect snow in places like Rochester and Buffalo develops when cold Arctic air passes over large, relatively mild lakes, creating narrow bands of clouds. The unfrozen waters of the Great Lakes transfer warmth and moisture into the atmosphere, forming clouds that produce 2 to 3 inches of snow per hour. Wind direction plays a key role, causing heavy snowfall in specific areas. Buffalo receives more intense but less frequent bands of lake effect snow from Lake Erie, depositing up to 4 inches per hour, while Rochester experience­s smaller but more frequent amounts lasting for days. These snow events typically occur in fall or early winter before the lakes freeze over.

Lake-effect snow records

In the lake effect parts of western New York state, Buffalo, Syracuse and Rochester annually top the nation’s list of snowiest big cities, each averaging more than 8 feet a year because of their proximity to lakes Erie and Ontario. The three cities vie each winter for the “Golden Snowball,” awarded to the region’s snowiest city.

Nearly unimaginab­le snowfalls have occurred in New York thanks to lake effect snow: The tiny town of Montague, downwind from Lake Ontario, holds the “unofficial” world record 24-hour snowfall total of nearly 61⁄2 feet, set on Jan. 1112, 1997.

And a crazy total of 5 inches of snow was once reported in just 20 minutes in Turin, Lewis County. Why crazy? Typically, a snow total of 2 to 3 inches an hour is considered “heavy.”

 ?? TINA MACINTYRE-YEE /ROCHESTER DEMOCRAT AND CHRONICLE ?? A band of lake effect snow coats the trees along Lake Ontario in Greece, N.Y., on Jan. 31, 2023.
TINA MACINTYRE-YEE /ROCHESTER DEMOCRAT AND CHRONICLE A band of lake effect snow coats the trees along Lake Ontario in Greece, N.Y., on Jan. 31, 2023.

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