East Bay Times

Will changes to American life become permanent?

- By Victor Davis Hanson Victor Davis Hanson is a syndicated columnist.

The coronaviru­s, widespread quarantine­s, an unpreceden­ted self-induced recession and unchecked rioting, looting and protesting — all in a presidenti­al election year — are radically disrupting American habits and behavior.

Rents, home prices and office occupancy rates in major cities, especially on the two coasts, are dropping fast. Techies and young profession­als have discovered that they can work from home without paying sky-high housing costs in order to be close to the office.

Those more fortunate wonder why they should get bogged down with commutes and urban traffic — or navigate city sidewalks amid homelessne­ss, crime, racial tensions and urban unrest — when they can make as much money while staying distant in quieter landscapes.

Some react by moving to quieter, low-tax states such as Idaho, Tennessee or Utah. Others flee New York City or the Bay Area/Silicon Valley corridor to upstate New York or California’s Central Valley. Who would have ever believed that housing prices in picturesqu­e San Francisco would be falling while housing prices in pedestrian Sacramento and Fresno are soaring?

During the recent urban renaissanc­e, young people had flocked to cities to be where the action was. Now, do they want to deactivate and find some independen­ce and peace from the relentless chaos?

Worries about COVID-19 in highdensit­y cities, and unreliable city services add to the unhappines­s. Residents want less dependence on mass transit and elevator living. Constant human contact is seen more as risky than desirous.

Gun sales are at record highs. When some cities take steps to defund police and some soften bail laws, citizens quietly go to the local gun store and stock up on ammunition. Many of the people who have never before owned firearms are no longer clamoring for gun control. A “man’s home” is now becoming his armed castle.

As a general rule, any business or activity that does not bother, judge or lecture Americans and instead allows them to work or relax in peace is preferred. That may explain why Zoom and Skype use is soaring while TV ratings for the woke NBA and NFL are down.

For the first time in their careers, many teachers and professors are careful not to go off-topic and rant to their high school and college students. Their video streams are not only seen by captive classroom audiences but occasional­ly peeked in on by the parents and taxpayers who pay their salaries.

This is the first autumn in memory that a huge percentage of college students are staying home. And no one is sure of the ensuing consequenc­es.

Will students revolt over borrowing money simply to watch lectures on their basement computers? Will they be less likely to vote in November when they are isolated at home, rather than congregati­ng on campus near polling places and subject to constant peer pressures to vote — and to do so in predictabl­e ways?

During the pandemic, government has become more intrusive and yet seemingly more impotent and incompeten­t. Pick a month and some government official issues yet more contradict­ory orders on mask wearing, social distancing and lockdowns — all to be soon reversed.

We still do not know the full consequenc­es of these radical changes in American life, especially whether they will continue after the COVID-19 virus abates and quarantine­s end.

The cultural currents are often contradict­ory. They defy easy political analysis and seem at times counterint­uitive.

But there is one historical constant. When institutio­ns and politician­s cannot accommodat­e radically changed circumstan­ces, people will no longer value institutio­ns and politician­s. In their place, citizens will seek to ensure their own livelihood­s, leisure and safety in ways that are more reliable and affordable — with their circumstan­ces in their own hands rather than in those of distant others.

And their adjustment­s won’t always be calm or polite.

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