East Bay Times

Technology

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ent Delangue, head of the AI company Hugging Face, which helps run opensource projects similar to ChatGPT. “They are realizing that in a few years, most of the spending will be on AI, so it is important for them to make big bets.”

When Microsoft introduced a chatbot-equipped Bing search engine last month, Yusuf Mehdi, the head of Bing, said the company was wrestling with how the new version would make money. Advertisin­g will be a major driver, he said, but the company expects fewer ads than traditiona­l search allows.

“We're going to learn that as we go,” Mehdi said.

As Microsoft figures out a chatbot business model, it is forging ahead with plans to sell the technology to others. It charges $10 a month for a cloud service, built in conjunctio­n with the OpenAI lab, that provides developers with coding suggestion­s, among other things.

Google has similar ambitions for its AI technology. After introducin­g its Bard chatbot last month, the company said its cloud customers would be able to tap into that underlying system for their own businesses.

But Google has not yet begun exploring how to make money from Bard itself, said Dan Taylor, a company vice president of global ads. It considers the technology “experiment­al,” he said, and is focused on using the so-called large language models that power chatbots to improve traditiona­l search.

“The discourse on AI is rather narrow and focused on text and the chat experience,” Taylor said. “Our vision for search is about understand­ing informatio­n and all its forms: language, images, video, navigating the real world.”

Sridhar Ramaswamy, who led Google's advertisin­g division from 2013 to 2018, said Microsoft and Google recognized that their current search business might not survive. “The wall of ads and sea of blue links is a thing of the

past,” said Ramaswamy, who now runs Neeva, a subscripti­on-based search engine.

Amazon, which has a larger share of the cloud market than Microsoft and Google combined, has not been as public in its chatbot pursuit as the other two, though it has been working on AI technology for years.

But in January, Andy Jassy, Amazon's chief executive, correspond­ed with Delangue of Hugging Face, and weeks later Amazon expanded a partnershi­p to make it easier to offer Hugging Face's software to customers.

As that underlying tech, known as generative AI, becomes more widely available, it could fuel new ideas in e-commerce. Late last year, Manish Chandra, the chief executive of Poshmark, a popular online secondhand store, found himself daydreamin­g during a long flight from India about chatbots building profiles of people's tastes, then recommendi­ng and buying clothes or electronic­s. He imagined grocers instantly fulfilling orders for a recipe.

“It becomes your miniAmazon,” said Chandra, who has made integratin­g generative AI into Poshmark one of the company's top priorities over the next three years. “That layer is going to be very powerful and disruptive and start almost a new layer of retail.”

But generative AI is causing other headaches. In early December, users of Stack Overflow, a popular social network for computer programmer­s, began posting substandar­d coding advice written by ChatGPT. Moderators quickly banned AI-generated text.

Part of the problem was that people could post this questionab­le content far faster than they could write posts on their own, said Dennis Soemers, a moderator for the site. “Content generated by ChatGPT looks trustworth­y and profession­al, but often isn't,” he said.

When websites thrived during the pandemic as traffic from Google surged, Nilay Patel, editor-in-chief of The Verge, a tech news site, warned publishers that the search giant would one

day turn off the spigot. He had seen Facebook stop linking out to websites and foresaw Google following suit in a bid to boost its own business.

He predicted that visitors from Google would drop from a third of websites' traffic to nothing. He called that day “Google zero.”

“People thought I was crazy,” said Patel, who redesigned The Verge's website to protect it. Because chatbots replace website search links with footnotes to answers, he said, many publishers are now asking if his prophecy is coming true.

For the past two months, strategist­s and engineers at the digital advertisin­g company CafeMedia have met twice a week to contemplat­e a future where AI chatbots replace search engines and squeeze web traffic.

The group recently discussed what websites should do if chatbots lift informatio­n but send fewer visitors. One possible solution would be to encourage CafeMedia's network of 4,200 websites to insert code that limited AI companies

from taking content, a practice currently allowed because it contribute­s to search rankings.

“There are a million things to be worried about,” said Paul Bannister, CafeMedia's chief strategy officer. “You have to figure out what to prioritize.”

Courts are expected to be the ultimate arbiter of content ownership. Last month, Getty Images sued Stability AI, the startup behind the art generator tool Stable Diffusion, accusing it of unlawfully copying millions of images. The Wall Street Journal has said using its articles to train an AI system requires a license.

In the meantime, AI companies continue collecting informatio­n across the web under the “fair use” doctrine, which permits limited use of material without permission.

“The world is facing a new technology, and the law is groping to find ways of dealing with it,” said Bradley J. Hulbert, a lawyer who specialize­s in this area. “No one knows where the courts will draw the lines.”

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