Enterprise-Record (Chico)

The disturbing trend of science denial

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The world is confrontin­g some critical challenges today — notably man-made climate change and a world-wide pandemic. These are challenges in which science has a great role to play. And a disturbing trend of science denial is making real solutions to those problems exponentia­lly more difficult.

Ultimate, final and permanent truths, in areas like morality and the meaning of life, are the province of priests and philosophe­rs. The business of science is to use data to reach the best possible approximat­ion of truth. Scientists arrive at consensus by amassing data. When new data arrives, the consensus can be adjusted — or even radically change. This is frustratin­g to people who don’t understand the process and leaves openings for charlatans who want to distort the truth for nefarious ends. But the willingnes­s to change the consensus to reflect new informatio­n is central to the nature of science. Scientific conclusion­s are always tentative — the best conclusion that can be drawn, based on the data available. Conclusion­s based on a lot of data, are stated “with a high degree of confidence” — but not with absolute certainty.

There is, however, one truth I can state with certainty: Never in the history of science have any large fraction of the specialist­s in any field of science conspired together to promote a falsehood or hide a truth. It has never happened. It is not happening now. Anyone who says it is happening is a deluded fool or a despicable liar.

— David Welch, Chico

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