Enterprise-Record (Chico)

Fed expects to keep key rate near 0

- By Christophe­r Rugaber and Martin Crutsinger

WASHINGTON >> The Federal Reserve foresees the economy accelerati­ng quickly this year yet still expects to keep its benchmark interest rate pinned near zero through 2023, despite concerns in financial markets about potentiall­y higher inflation.

With its brightenin­g outlook, the Fed on Wednesday significan­tly upgraded its forecasts for growth and inflation. It now expects the economy to expand 6.5% this year, up sharply from its previous projection in December of 4.2%. And the Fed raised its forecast for inflation by the end of this year from 1.8% to 2.4% after years of chronicall­y low price increases.

The Fed also said it would continue its monthly purchases of $120 billion in bonds, which are intended to keep longer-term borrowing costs low.

On Wall Street, investors registered their approval of the Fed’s low-rate message, sending stock indexes higher. And the closely watched yield on the 10year Treasury note, which has surged in recent weeks on inflation concerns, declined slightly.

Still, the Fed’s upgraded forecasts raised questions about what would cause it eventually to raise its key short-term rate, which affects many consumer and business loans. As the economy strengthen­s, the policymake­rs think the unemployme­nt rate will drop faster than they thought in December: They foresee unemployme­nt falling from its current 6.2% to 4.5% by year’s end and to 3.9%, near a healthy level, at the end of 2022.

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